Xfinity Mobile Arena · at 76ers
LineNo line yet
Total—
 SA | This season | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 6-1 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 114–108 · win probability SA 66%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 221.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
SA 3, PHI 2 · 2026-27 so far
SABigPHI offense vs SA defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
SABigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SA 27.2%, PHI 19.9%. Defensive: SA 75.8%, PHI 70.8%
PHISmallThree-pointers
SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%; PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 39.0% and 39.5% of their shots
SASmallSA offense vs PHI defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SA has played the 15th-hardest schedule, PHI the 20th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PHISmallHome court
PHI at home. This season: PHI 3-1 at home, SA 2-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: SA plays 104.3 a game (11th fastest), PHI 102.4 (19th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SA 13.1%, PHI 12.3%. Forced: SA 15.7%, PHI 17.0%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SA 24.5, PHI 28.7. Allowed: SA 21.7, PHI 28.5
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: SA 53.3 and allows 52.1; PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8
Even
Recent form
Last 5: SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0; PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SA 100%, PHI 100%. Transfers in: SA 0, PHI 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -5.8
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model221.8
Model edge—
Projected score
SA 113.8 · PHI 108
Win probability
SA 66%
1st half
Spread
SA -3.5
Total
111.3
Projected score
SA 57.4 · PHI 53.9
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SA 4–6 PHIPHI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 3 meetings · SA 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025-26 | PHI 102 @ SA 115 | SA -8.5 | SA W |
| Mar 3, 2025-26 | SA 131 @ PHI 91 | PHI +7.5 | SA W |
| Mar 21, 2024-25 | PHI 120 @ SA 128 | SA -5.5 | SA W |
| Dec 23, 2024-25 | SA 106 @ PHI 111 | PHI -5.5 | SA W |
| Apr 7, 2023-24 | PHI 133 @ SA 126 | SA +3.5 | PHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @ IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs has the better starters
Position by position: Spurs 3, 76ers 0, even 2
SpursBetter76ers
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
←SASmall
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
←SASmall
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
=Even
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
←SASmall
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
=Even
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
SpursBetter76ers
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
←SASmall
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
←SABig
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
←SABig
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
←SABig
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
←SABig
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSA betterPHI betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
SA117.3 #12PHI108.7 #23Points per possession
SA1.12 #10PHI1.06 #22Pace (possessions)
SA104.3 #11PHI102.4 #19Shooting
Effective FG%
SA53.3 #16PHI50.8 #253-point %
SA34.9 #17PHI34.0 #203-point attempt rate
SA39.0 #24PHI39.5 #23Free throw rate
SA24.5 #24PHI28.7 #16Possessions
Turnover rate
SA13.1 #2PHI12.3 #1Offensive rebound rate
SA27.2 #16PHI19.9 #30Assists per game
SA27.5 #9PHI25.1 #22Defense
Points allowed
SA110.2 #12PHI104.9 #2Points allowed per possession
SA1.06 #6PHI1.03 #3Opponent effective FG%
SA52.1 #11PHI49.8 #4Opponent 3-point %
SA37.3 #23PHI32.1 #9Turnovers forced
SA15.7 #14PHI17.0 #9Defensive rebound rate
SA75.8 #7PHI70.8 #21Steals per game
SA9.2 #10PHI9.6 #7Blocks per game
SA7.0 #1PHI5.0 #14| SA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.3 #12 | Points per game | 108.7 #23 |
| 1.12 #10 | Points per possession | 1.06 #22 |
| 104.3 #11 | Pace (possessions) | 102.4 #19 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.3 #16 | Effective FG% | 50.8 #25 |
| 34.9 #17 | 3-point % | 34.0 #20 |
| 39.0 #24 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.5 #23 |
| 24.5 #24 | Free throw rate | 28.7 #16 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.1 #2 | Turnover rate | 12.3 #1 |
| 27.2 #16 | Offensive rebound rate | 19.9 #30 |
| 27.5 #9 | Assists per game | 25.1 #22 |
| Defense | ||
| 110.2 #12 | Points allowed | 104.9 #2 |
| 1.06 #6 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #3 |
| 52.1 #11 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.8 #4 |
| 37.3 #23 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.1 #9 |
| 15.7 #14 | Turnovers forced | 17.0 #9 |
| 75.8 #7 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.8 #21 |
| 9.2 #10 | Steals per game | 9.6 #7 |
| 7.0 #1 | Blocks per game | 5.0 #14 |
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.