Chase Center · at Warriors
LineNo line yet
Total—
 PHI | This season | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 4-3 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects GS 115–112 · win probability GS 58%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 226.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: GS has more of the edges
PHI 1, GS 5 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
PHI has played the 20th-hardest schedule, GS the 6th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GSBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PHI 19.9%, GS 33.2%. Defensive: PHI 70.8%, GS 70.4%
GSBigRecent form
Last 5: PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6; GS 5-0 ATS, margin +9.0
PHISmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: PHI 12.3%, GS 16.7%. Forced: PHI 17.0%, GS 17.6%
GSSmallPHI offense vs GS defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 14th, on the model’s ratings
GSSmallThree-pointers
PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%; GS hits 40.0% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 39.5% and 47.1% of their shots
GSSmallHome court
GS at home. This season: GS 2-1 at home, PHI 3-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: PHI plays 102.4 a game (19th fastest), GS 101.4 (25th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PHI 28.7, GS 28.8. Allowed: PHI 28.5, GS 27.3
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8; GS 55.3 and allows 56.0
Even
GS offense vs PHI defense
Offense 9th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PHI 100%, GS 100%. Transfers in: PHI 0, GS 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelGS -2.9
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model226.0
Model edge—
Projected score
PHI 111.5 · GS 114.5
Win probability
GS 58%
1st half
Spread
GS -1.5
Total
113.3
Projected score
PHI 55.9 · GS 57.4
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
| GSlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PHI 5–5 GSSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · PHI has won the last 3 meetings · PHI 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025-26 | PHI 113 @ GS 94 | GS -4.5 | PHI W |
| Dec 4, 2025-26 | GS 98 @ PHI 99 | PHI -4.5 | GS W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | GS 119 @ PHI 126 | PHI +6.5 | PHI W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | PHI 105 @ GS 139 | GS -3.5 | GS W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | GS 127 @ PHI 104 | PHI +3.5 | GS W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @ IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Warriors
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ LAL | L 105-127 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 233.5 | U 232 |
| Oct 23 | vs MEM | L 108-111 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 236.5 | U 219 |
| Oct 24 | @ PHX | L 122-131 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 221.5 | O 253 |
| Oct 26 | @ DEN | W 134-114 | +6.5 | W +26.5 | 236.5 | O 248 |
| Oct 28 | @ MIN | W 119-114 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 227.5 | O 233 |
| Oct 30 | vsLAL | W 112-95 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 234.5 | U 207 |
| Nov 1 | vs LAC | W 124-112 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 220.5 | O 236 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−15.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−7.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+0.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+26.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+8.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
+19.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−1.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−17.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+31.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+11.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+5.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
−27.5
1
vsLAC
LACW 124-112
+15.5
over 4under 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: 76ers 2, Warriors 2, even 1
76ersBetterWarriors
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
=Even
G B. Podziemski16.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 72
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
→GSSmall
G D. Melton11.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 62
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
←PHIBig
G B. Williams11.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 5
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
→GSSmall
F Y. Lendeborg22.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 78
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
←PHISmall
F G. Niang6.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 72
76ersBetterWarriors
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
→GSSmall
GS defense14th of 30 · +0.3
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
=Even
GS offense9th of 30 · +1.9
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
←PHIBig
Backcourt+5.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
←PHISmall
Frontcourt+12.0 · 2 players
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
→GSBig
Bench+5.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPHI betterGS betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
WarriorsGuards
B. Podziemski34 minD. Melton22 minB. Williams17 minW. Richard16 minL. Cryer16 minG. Payton13 min
Forwards
Y. Lendeborg32 minG. Niang20 minG. Ike12 minM. Leons11 min
Centers
A. Horford19 minC. Bassey9 min
Out
S. CurryDay-To-DayG. SantosOutD. GreenDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
PHI108.7 #23GS117.7 #11Points per possession
PHI1.06 #22GS1.17 #3Pace (possessions)
PHI102.4 #19GS101.4 #25Shooting
Effective FG%
PHI50.8 #25GS55.3 #83-point %
PHI34.0 #20GS40.0 #23-point attempt rate
PHI39.5 #23GS47.1 #5Free throw rate
PHI28.7 #16GS28.8 #15Possessions
Turnover rate
PHI12.3 #1GS16.7 #22Offensive rebound rate
PHI19.9 #30GS33.2 #1Assists per game
PHI25.1 #22GS27.4 #10Defense
Points allowed
PHI104.9 #2GS114.9 #16Points allowed per possession
PHI1.03 #3GS1.13 #21Opponent effective FG%
PHI49.8 #4GS56.0 #25Opponent 3-point %
PHI32.1 #9GS35.2 #16Turnovers forced
PHI17.0 #9GS17.6 #5Defensive rebound rate
PHI70.8 #21GS70.4 #23Steals per game
PHI9.6 #7GS9.1 #11Blocks per game
PHI5.0 #14GS4.1 #24| PHI | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #23 | Points per game | 117.7 #11 |
| 1.06 #22 | Points per possession | 1.17 #3 |
| 102.4 #19 | Pace (possessions) | 101.4 #25 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.8 #25 | Effective FG% | 55.3 #8 |
| 34.0 #20 | 3-point % | 40.0 #2 |
| 39.5 #23 | 3-point attempt rate | 47.1 #5 |
| 28.7 #16 | Free throw rate | 28.8 #15 |
| Possessions | ||
| 12.3 #1 | Turnover rate | 16.7 #22 |
| 19.9 #30 | Offensive rebound rate | 33.2 #1 |
| 25.1 #22 | Assists per game | 27.4 #10 |
| Defense | ||
| 104.9 #2 | Points allowed | 114.9 #16 |
| 1.03 #3 | Points allowed per possession | 1.13 #21 |
| 49.8 #4 | Opponent effective FG% | 56.0 #25 |
| 32.1 #9 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.2 #16 |
| 17.0 #9 | Turnovers forced | 17.6 #5 |
| 70.8 #21 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.4 #23 |
| 9.6 #7 | Steals per game | 9.1 #11 |
| 5.0 #14 | Blocks per game | 4.1 #24 |
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.
Warriors
4-3 overall · 4-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Clippers124–112
- Wvs Lakers112–95
- W@ Timberwolves119–114
- W@ Nuggets134–114
- L@ Suns122–131
A week or more of rest.