When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
16 games · 2025 · Miami · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.
All 16 games
2025 · Miami · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
IU -7.5 | 47.5 | 3102448 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
21–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
MIA -3 | 52.5 | 3303358 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
31–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
TA&M -3 | 48.5 | 00313 | U | MIA Q1 | 10–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIA -6.5 | 48.5 | 3243845 | U | MIA Q2 | 38–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MIA -17.5 | 48.5 | 10233751 | Q4 | VT Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MIA -16.5 | 54.5 | 10243448 | U | MIA Q2 | 7–41 |
2025 · Week 11 |
MIA -28.5 | 47.5 | 0143448 | Q4 | SYR Q1 Late over |
10–38 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MIA -6.5 | 46.5 | 717344046 | U | SMU Q2 Lead lost |
20–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
MIA -28.5 | 45.5 | 7143549 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–42 |
2025 · Week 8 |
MIA -10.5 | 49.5 | 21243045 | U | LOU Q1 | 24–21 |
2025 · Week 6 |
MIA -2.5 | 54.5 | 10173150 | U | MIA Q1 | 28–22 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIA -8.5 | 51.5 | 7132033 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
7–26 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MIA -17.5 | 56.5 | 17344161 | Q4 | MIA Q2 Late over |
12–49 |
 BCU @  MIA2025 · Week 2 |
MIA -54.5 | 64.5 | 14313848 | U | BCU Q1 | 3–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ND -2.5 | 50.5 | 0212851 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
24–27 |
IU
MISS
OSU
TA&M
PITT
VT
NCSU
SYR
SMU
STAN
LOU
FSU
FLA
USF
NDWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 8
Q2 25% 4
Q3 0% 0
Q4 25% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 93% and covered 64% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 73% of 15 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 11–14 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 33% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.