When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
16 games · 2024 · Notre Dame · pick one to list those games
56% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 67% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 13% of games.
All 16 games
2024 · Notre Dame · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -8.5 | 44.5 | 7284657 | Q3 | OSU Q2 | 34–23 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
ND -1.5 | 46.5 | 0163033 | U | ND Q2 | 23–10 |
2024 · Postseason |
ND -6.5 | 50.5 | 7202344 | U | ND Q1 | 17–27 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ND -6.5 | 52.5 | 7285684 | Q3 | ND Q3 | 49–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ND -14.5 | 44.5 | 14354963 | Q3 | ND Q2 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ND -21.5 | 51.5 | 7284249 | U | UVA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ND -25.5 | 44.5 | 10243455 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late over |
3–52 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ND -14.5 | 50.5 | 14385865 | Q3 | ND Q2 | 51–14 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ND -14.5 | 49.5 | 7212844 | U | ND Q4 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ND -22.5 | 45.5 | 14284956 | Q3 | ND Q3 | 7–49 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ND -6.5 | 45.5 | 28383855 | Q4 | ND Q1 | 24–31 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ND -27.5 | 43.5 | 0172431 | U | M-OH Q1 | 3–28 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ND -7.5 | 47.5 | 14425973 | Q3 | ND Q1 | 66–7 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ND -28.5 | 46.5 | 17202730 | U | NIU Q1 Lead lost |
16–14 |
2024 · Week 1 |
TA&M -2.5 | 46.5 | 6121936 | U | ND Q1 | 23–13 |
OSU
ND
PSU
UGA
IU
USC
ARMY
UVA
FSU
NAVY
GT
STAN
LOU
M-OH
PUR
NIU
TA&MWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 38% 6
Q2 25% 4
Q3 25% 4
Q4 13% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 93% and covered 79% of 14 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 93% and covered 80% of 15 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 6 | 100% 6 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 25% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.