1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. WRST vs SBU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Wright State Raiders vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies

State Farm Field House · Neutral site
#180WRSTWright St
vs
#142SBUSt Bonaventure
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WRSTThis seasonSBU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SBU 75–74 · win probability SBU 56%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WRST has more of the edges

WRST 2, SBU 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
WRST has played the 264th-hardest schedule, SBU the 109th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WRSTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WRST 37.4, SBU 30.0. Allowed: WRST 33.3, SBU 33.9
WRSTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: WRST 54.3 and allows 52.4; SBU 52.4 and allows 53.3
SBUSmall
SBU offense vs WRST defense
Offense 169th of 366 against a defense 215th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
WRST hits 36.4% and allows 34.3%; SBU hits 37.4% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 34.2% and 31.3% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: WRST plays 69.1 a game (171st fastest), SBU 68.0 (228th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WRST 32%, SBU 18%. Transfers in: WRST 4, SBU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
WRST offense vs SBU defense
Offense 148th of 366 against a defense 131st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WRST 32.8%, SBU 34.5%. Defensive: WRST 70.6%, SBU 70.2%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WRST 16.1%, SBU 16.8%. Forced: WRST 16.6%, SBU 17.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SBU -1.6—
Total—148.8—
Projected score—WRST 73.6 · SBU 75.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSBU -0.8—
1H total69.6—
1H projected scoreWRST 34.4 · SBU 35.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wright St has the better starters

Position by position: Wright St 2, St Bonaventure 1, even 2
Wright StBetterSt Bonaventure
G C. O'Hara TR14.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 66
Even
G A. Fulton TR10.7 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 62
G D. Pangonis8.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 30
No call
G I. Ermakov2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
G C. Traylor TR3.8 pts · 1.1 reb · 2 ast Score 21
SBUSmall
F R. Kalambay TR4.4 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 40
G A. Holden5.8 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 78
WRSTBig
F J. Grahovac4.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
F K. Pickett8.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 1 ast Score 67
WRSTBig
F M. Blackwood TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast Score 22
Wright StBetterSt Bonaventure
WRST offense148th of 366 · -4.5
Even
SBU defense131st of 366 · -2.4
WRST defense215th of 366 · -5.6
Even
SBU offense169th of 366 · -5.2
Backcourt-2.5 · 4 players
SBUSmall
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.6 · 1 player
WRSTBig
Frontcourt-2.4 · 3 players
Bench-0.7 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.6 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestWRST betterSBU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Wright St
Guards
C. O'Hara33 min · TRD. Pangonis27 minC. Traylor17 min · TRA. Holden14 minI. Milijasevic8 min · TRP. DouglasNew
Forwards
K. Pickett23 minS. JohnsonNewN. LewisNew
Centers
N. Djapa10 min · TR
St Bonaventure
Guards
A. Fulton29 min · TRI. Ermakov10 minA. Lonati8 minJ. DeRose1 minR. HeathNewZ. PhilipkoskiNew
Forwards
R. Kalambay21 min · TRJ. Grahovac18 minM. Blackwood12 min · TRJ. IkpotokinNewC. BlankenbergNew
Centers
B. BillNewC. DialloNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WRSTSBU
Scoring
79.8 #72Points per game76.2 #138
1.16 #54Points per possession1.12 #104
69.1 #171Pace (possessions)68.0 #228
Shooting
54.3 #56Effective FG%52.4 #129
36.4 #443-point %37.4 #22
34.2 #2903-point attempt rate31.3 #335
37.4 #120Free throw rate30.0 #310
Possessions
16.1 #149Turnover rate16.8 #189
32.8 #91Offensive rebound rate34.5 #60
13.2 #199Assists per game15.4 #73
Defense
75.6 #206Points allowed75.4 #201
1.09 #201Points allowed per possession1.11 #245
52.4 #238Opponent effective FG%53.3 #278
34.3 #203Opponent 3-point %36.0 #299
16.6 #179Turnovers forced17.1 #144
70.6 #129Defensive rebound rate70.2 #150
7.1 #114Steals per game7.5 #80
4.4 #47Blocks per game4.4 #41
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wright St

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 18-5 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Virginia73–82
  • Wvs Detroit Mercy66–63
  • Wvs N Kentucky103–90
  • Wvs Cleveland St90–61
  • W@ N Kentucky92–91

A week or more of rest.

St Bonaventure

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-15 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Dayton63–68
  • Wvs George Mason63–57
  • Wvs La Salle99–80
  • Lvs Davidson63–68
  • L@ G Washington82–91

A week or more of rest.