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NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Presbyterian @ Tennessee Tech

Hooper Eblen Center · at Tennessee Tech
#182PRESPresbyterian
@
#282TNTCTennessee Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRESThis seasonTNTC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRES 73–71 · win probability PRES 56%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRES has more of the edges

PRES 4, TNTC 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PRESBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRES 86%, TNTC 18%. Transfers in: PRES 0, TNTC 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
PRESBig
TNTC offense vs PRES defense
Offense 276th of 366 against a defense 160th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
PRES has played the 271st-hardest schedule, TNTC the 353rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
PRESSmall
PRES offense vs TNTC defense
Offense 222nd of 366 against a defense 288th, on the model’s ratings
PRESSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRES 51.0 and allows 51.2; TNTC 48.9 and allows 51.5
TNTCSmall
Home court
TNTC at home. This season: TNTC 0-0 at home, PRES 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
PRES hits 31.6% and allows 34.7%; TNTC hits 31.1% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 28.0% and 36.5% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: PRES plays 66.9 a game (283rd fastest), TNTC 68.3 (214th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRES 33.1%, TNTC 31.3%. Defensive: PRES 69.3%, TNTC 69.3%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRES 39.4, TNTC 35.5. Allowed: PRES 37.1, TNTC 31.3
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRES 19.4%, TNTC 19.1%. Forced: PRES 15.7%, TNTC 15.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPRES -1.7
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model144.3
Model edge—
Projected score
PRES 73 · TNTC 71.3
Win probability
PRES 56%
1st half
Spread
PRES -1.1
Total
67.5
Projected score
PRES 34.3 · TNTC 33.2
Model edge = where the model differs from the market, in points: a reason to look, not a trend. The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with. Model record › · 1st-half slate ›

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Presbyterian has the better starters

Position by position: Presbyterian 2, Tennessee Tech 1, even 2
PresbyterianBetterTennessee Tech
G C. Parrish14.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 56
Even
G T. Mosquera TR13.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 55
G T. Wilson11.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 52
PRESBig
G T. Owens7.4 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
G E. Taylor5.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Hackett TR13.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 78
G I. King3.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 2
TNTCBig
G C. Newton TR10.5 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
F J. Peterson11 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 71
PRESBig
G C. Hollenbeck TR5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6
PresbyterianBetterTennessee Tech
PRES offense222nd of 366 · -6.8
PRESSmall
TNTC defense288th of 366 · -7.2
PRES defense160th of 366 · -3.5
PRESSmall
TNTC offense276th of 366 · -8.4
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-4.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestPRES betterTNTC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Presbyterian
Guards
C. Parrish35 minT. Wilson32 minE. Taylor21 minI. King19 minK. Hudson11 minJ. Bowden8 min
Forwards
J. Peterson30 minC. Chiakwelu11 minA. AyelyineNewL. HackworthNew
Tennessee Tech
Guards
T. Mosquera32 min · TRT. Owens28 minD. Hackett28 min · TRC. Newton26 min · TRC. Hollenbeck17 min · TRC. GonzalesNew
Forwards
D. Christensen13 min · TRM. Turner8 minC. Sanders8 min · TRD. GreenNewS. ArnoldNewK. FoxNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRESTNTC
Scoring
70.0 #286Points per game70.3 #280
1.05 #249Points per possession1.03 #287
66.9 #283Pace (possessions)68.3 #214
Shooting
51.0 #196Effective FG%48.9 #293
31.6 #3023-point %31.1 #316
28.0 #3603-point attempt rate36.5 #238
39.4 #71Free throw rate35.5 #164
Possessions
19.4 #335Turnover rate19.1 #325
33.1 #86Offensive rebound rate31.3 #151
12.4 #260Assists per game11.0 #337
Defense
73.1 #133Points allowed75.6 #207
1.09 #192Points allowed per possession1.11 #231
51.2 #170Opponent effective FG%51.5 #186
34.7 #235Opponent 3-point %35.8 #295
15.7 #237Turnovers forced15.0 #285
69.3 #188Defensive rebound rate69.3 #192
5.5 #303Steals per game5.4 #312
4.5 #35Blocks per game2.7 #275
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Presbyterian

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-10 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop71–73
  • Wvs Radford91–85
  • L@ Winthrop70–74
  • Lvs High Point73–79
  • L@ SC Upstate74–76

A week or more of rest.

Tennessee Tech

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ SE Missouri73–89
  • L@ UT Martin49–64
  • Wvs Lindenwood Lions72–57
  • Wvs SIUE62–52
  • W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles82–74

A week or more of rest.