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  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. HOF @ ASU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Hofstra Pride at Arizona State Sun Devils

Desert Financial Arena · at Arizona St
#166HOFHofstra
@
#60ASUArizona St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HOFThis seasonASU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ASU 81–65 · win probability ASU 93%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ASU has more of the edges

HOF 3, ASU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ASUBig
HOF offense vs ASU defense
Offense 254th of 366 against a defense 60th, on the model’s ratings
HOFBig
Three-pointers
HOF hits 37.1% and allows 32.3%; ASU hits 33.4% and allows 35.0%. Threes are 42.9% and 38.4% of their shots
HOFBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HOF 34.7%, ASU 29.9%. Defensive: HOF 69.0%, ASU 65.1%
Context
Schedule so far
HOF has played the 142nd-hardest schedule, ASU the 13th. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOFBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: HOF 51.4 and allows 46.3; ASU 51.1 and allows 52.4
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HOF plays 65.9 a game (319th fastest), ASU 70.6 (93rd). Faster games mean more points
ASUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: HOF 31.6, ASU 39.5. Allowed: HOF 35.1, ASU 34.3
ASUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HOF 16.1%, ASU 17.1%. Forced: HOF 15.0%, ASU 18.4%
ASUSmall
ASU offense vs HOF defense
Offense 55th of 366 against a defense 120th, on the model’s ratings
ASUSmall
Home court
ASU at home. This season: ASU 0-0 at home, HOF 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HOF 12%, ASU 11%. Transfers in: HOF 4, ASU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ASU -16.7—
Total—145.7—
Projected score—HOF 64.5 · ASU 81.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadASU -9.8—
1H total68.2—
1H projected scoreHOF 29.2 · ASU 39—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Arizona St has the better starters

Position by position: Hofstra 0, Arizona St 4, even 1
HofstraBetterArizona St
G J. Moore TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 46
ASUSmall
G J. Foxwell TR15.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 6.4 ast Score 79
G D. Tavarez TR8.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 47
Even
G D. Shaw TR7.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 55
F J. DeCady6.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 17
ASUBig
G E. Innocenti TR6 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.7 ast Score 58
F S. Wewe TR2.4 pts · 5.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 17
ASUBig
F P. Murauskas TR18.4 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast Score 97
F I. Zorgvol TR5.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast Score 62
ASUSmall
C B. Defty TR15.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast Score 84
HofstraBetterArizona St
HOF offense254th of 366 · -7.7
ASUBig
ASU defense60th of 366 · +1.2
HOF defense120th of 366 · -1.9
ASUSmall
ASU offense55th of 366 · +3.2
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
ASUSmall
Backcourt+1.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 3 players
ASUBig
Frontcourt+9.4 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.9 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestHOF betterASU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hofstra
Guards
J. Moore30 min · TRD. Tavarez23 min · TRT. ThomasNewC. LopezNewT. BoydNewN. JeffersonNew
Forwards
J. DeCady25 minS. Wewe16 min · TRI. Zorgvol15 min · TRR. DunnNew
Arizona St
Guards
J. Foxwell36 min · TRD. Shaw28 min · TRE. Innocenti24 min · TRB. Ford22 minV. WallaceNewJ. CroyNew
Forwards
P. Murauskas33 min · TRA. NyuonNewM. VaughnsNew
Centers
B. Defty29 min · TRN. Garcia7 min · TRF. MalesevicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HOFASU
Scoring
74.4 #184Points per game76.3 #133
1.13 #86Points per possession1.08 #178
65.9 #319Pace (possessions)70.6 #93
Shooting
51.4 #178Effective FG%51.1 #190
37.1 #263-point %33.4 #202
42.9 #1193-point attempt rate38.4 #201
31.6 #264Free throw rate39.5 #66
Possessions
16.1 #148Turnover rate17.1 #211
34.7 #54Offensive rebound rate29.9 #206
12.3 #263Assists per game13.7 #166
Defense
68.2 #36Points allowed78.3 #273
1.04 #69Points allowed per possession1.11 #239
46.3 #14Opponent effective FG%52.4 #235
32.3 #78Opponent 3-point %35.0 #249
15.0 #292Turnovers forced18.4 #77
69.0 #201Defensive rebound rate65.1 #337
4.8 #343Steals per game7.0 #122
3.5 #135Blocks per game4.6 #32
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hofstra

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama70–90
  • Wvs Monmouth75–69
  • Wvs Towson68–65
  • Wvs William & Mary92–61
  • Wvs Drexel62–51

A week or more of rest.

Arizona St

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Iowa State42–91
  • Wvs Baylor83–79
  • L@ Iowa State65–86
  • Wvs Kansas70–60
  • Wvs Utah73–60

A week or more of rest.