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  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. DSU @ NAVY
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Delaware State Hornets at Navy Midshipmen

Alumni Hall (Navy) · at Navy
#351DSUDelaware St
@
#199NAVYNavy
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DSUThis seasonNAVY
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NAVY 76–61 · win probability NAVY 90%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 137.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NAVY has more of the edges

DSU 0, NAVY 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NAVYBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: DSU 42.9 and allows 52.9; NAVY 53.1 and allows 48.3
NAVYBig
DSU offense vs NAVY defense
Offense 354th of 366 against a defense 145th, on the model’s ratings
NAVYBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: DSU 34.1, NAVY 38.8. Allowed: DSU 40.5, NAVY 26.0
NAVYBig
Three-pointers
DSU hits 28.4% and allows 33.0%; NAVY hits 35.9% and allows 30.0%. Threes are 28.9% and 33.1% of their shots
NAVYBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DSU 27.7%, NAVY 31.9%. Defensive: DSU 68.0%, NAVY 72.6%
NAVYSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DSU 19.8%, NAVY 16.8%. Forced: DSU 19.6%, NAVY 18.3%
NAVYSmall
Home court
NAVY at home. This season: NAVY 0-0 at home, DSU 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
DSU has played the 354th-hardest schedule, NAVY the 311th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
NAVY offense vs DSU defense
Offense 270th of 366 against a defense 307th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: DSU plays 66.7 a game (290th fastest), NAVY 66.0 (316th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DSU 41%, NAVY 46%. Transfers in: DSU 1, NAVY 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—NAVY -14.7—
Total—137.2—
Projected score—DSU 61.2 · NAVY 75.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNAVY -8.6—
1H total64.2—
1H projected scoreDSU 27.8 · NAVY 36.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Delaware St 1, Navy 1, even 3
Delaware StBetterNavy
G R. Moore6.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1 ast Score 33
Even
G J. Kim10 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
G N. Muhammad TR7.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
DSUSmall
G J. Pennick7.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 12
G J. St Clair3.7 pts · 0.9 reb · 1 ast Score 14
NAVYSmall
G C. Cole6 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 41
G D. Shepherd4.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 58
No call
G D. Burnett1.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
F A. Santos6.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 20
No call
G N. Howard1.6 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
Delaware StBetterNavy
DSU offense354th of 366 · -13.2
NAVYBig
NAVY defense145th of 366 · -3.1
DSU defense307th of 366 · -7.9
Even
NAVY offense270th of 366 · -8.2
Backcourt-4.0 · 4 players
DSUSmall
Backcourt-5.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-2.0 · 1 player
NAVYSmall
Bench-0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDSU betterNAVY betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Delaware St
Guards
R. Moore22 minN. Muhammad18 min · TRJ. St Clair15 minD. Shepherd13 minN. ReedusNewI. SullivanNew
Forwards
A. Santos20 minM. Adamu13 minT. HawkinsNewG. EkukwaiNewJ. ObioraNewF. MuntariNew
Navy
Guards
J. Kim31 minJ. Pennick25 minC. Cole19 minD. Burnett6 minN. Howard3 minJ. Gabbidon1 min
Forwards
C. Jackson2 minJ. Ashley2 minO. Gray2 minT. RajiNewC. PollockNewS. GriffinNew
Centers
C. CraneNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DSUNAVY
Scoring
59.7 #365Points per game74.1 #194
0.89 #365Points per possession1.12 #97
66.7 #290Pace (possessions)66.0 #316
Shooting
42.9 #364Effective FG%53.1 #100
28.4 #3613-point %35.9 #64
28.9 #3573-point attempt rate33.1 #314
34.1 #204Free throw rate38.8 #82
Possessions
19.8 #346Turnover rate16.8 #190
27.7 #277Offensive rebound rate31.9 #126
9.7 #361Assists per game15.8 #52
Defense
71.4 #89Points allowed65.6 #10
1.07 #143Points allowed per possession1.00 #23
52.9 #265Opponent effective FG%48.3 #42
33.0 #123Opponent 3-point %30.0 #7
19.6 #32Turnovers forced18.3 #84
68.0 #257Defensive rebound rate72.6 #49
7.6 #73Steals per game7.5 #84
1.8 #353Blocks per game3.3 #185
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware St

5-22 in 2025-26 overall · 3-13 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central53–59
  • Wvs Morgan St75–70
  • W@ MD Eastern57–56
  • Lvs SC State59–61
  • Lvs NC Central60–74

A week or more of rest.

Navy

24-8 in 2025-26 overall · 18-2 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Wake Forest72–82
  • Lvs Boston U72–73
  • Wvs Bucknell74–69
  • Wvs Colgate85–69
  • W@ Loyola MD78–51

A week or more of rest.