1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. VT vs OKST
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

TD Arena · Neutral site
#68VTVirginia Tech
vs
#45OKSTOklahoma St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
VTThis seasonOKST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OKST 82–80 · win probability OKST 60%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 161.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VT has more of the edges

VT 3, OKST 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VTBig
Three-pointers
VT hits 35.5% and allows 30.6%; OKST hits 33.9% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 39.7% and 35.5% of their shots
VTSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: VT 14.9%, OKST 15.7%. Forced: VT 17.3%, OKST 15.7%
VTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: VT 52.2 and allows 50.9; OKST 52.0 and allows 53.1
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: VT plays 69.8 a game (127th fastest), OKST 74.8 (6th). Faster games mean more points
OKSTSmall
OKST offense vs VT defense
Offense 23rd of 366 against a defense 72nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: VT 34.0, OKST 39.4. Allowed: VT 28.8, OKST 31.4
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: VT 31.9%, OKST 30.8%. Defensive: VT 67.4%, OKST 69.7%
Even
VT offense vs OKST defense
Offense 68th of 366 against a defense 99th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
VT has played the 74th-hardest schedule, OKST the 60th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: VT 47%, OKST 41%. Transfers in: VT 8, OKST 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OKST -2.9—
Total—161.9—
Projected score—VT 79.5 · OKST 82.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOKST -1.6—
1H total75.6—
1H projected scoreVT 37 · OKST 38.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Virginia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Virginia Tech 1, Oklahoma St 0, even 4
Virginia TechBetterOklahoma St
G E. Copeland TR14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 67
Even
G K. Clary10.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.6 ast Score 78
G B. Hammond13.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 3.2 ast Score 89
Even
G K. Natt TR11.3 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.5 ast Score 94
G I. Elohim TR12.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 71
VTSmall
G J. Walker TR11.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 55
G T. Johnson8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 77
Even
F J. Burks TR13.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 90
F A. Hansberry14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92
Even
F P. Fallah14.7 pts · 6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 97
Virginia TechBetterOklahoma St
VT offense68th of 366 · +1.8
Even
OKST defense99th of 366 · -0.7
VT defense72nd of 366 · +0.8
Even
OKST offense23rd of 366 · +7.5
Backcourt+4.7 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt+4.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
OKSTBig
Frontcourt+7.7 · 2 players
Bench+1.5 · 5 players
Even
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestVT betterOKST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Virginia Tech
Guards
E. Copeland32 min · TRB. Hammond32 minI. Elohim29 min · TRT. Johnson26 minJ. Curry24 min · TRB. Johnson21 min · TR
Forwards
A. Hansberry31 minM. Heide19 min · TRK. Atak14 min · TRS. Jones7 min
Centers
M. Sagnia12 min · TRS. DavisNew
Oklahoma St
Guards
K. Clary28 minK. Natt27 min · TRJ. Walker26 min · TRL. Bogavac24 min · TRR. Crotty10 minJ. MontonatiNew
Forwards
J. Burks28 min · TRP. Fallah26 minA. Grbovic20 min · TRB. Ahmed13 minM. Ragland6 minL. AllmondNew
Centers
J. Halaifonua20 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
VTOKST
Scoring
78.8 #85Points per game83.9 #21
1.13 #89Points per possession1.12 #110
69.8 #127Pace (possessions)74.8 #6
Shooting
52.2 #134Effective FG%52.0 #144
35.5 #883-point %33.9 #176
39.7 #1793-point attempt rate35.5 #260
34.0 #209Free throw rate39.4 #70
Possessions
14.9 #60Turnover rate15.7 #117
31.9 #129Offensive rebound rate30.8 #169
14.4 #122Assists per game14.6 #113
Defense
74.9 #184Points allowed83.2 #349
1.07 #141Points allowed per possession1.12 #265
50.9 #147Opponent effective FG%53.1 #272
30.6 #26Opponent 3-point %36.0 #304
17.3 #131Turnovers forced15.7 #240
67.4 #284Defensive rebound rate69.7 #178
6.4 #187Steals per game7.1 #120
3.2 #190Blocks per game2.7 #285
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Virginia Tech

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wake Forest89–95
  • L@ Virginia72–76
  • Wvs Boston College72–63
  • L@ North Carolina82–89
  • Wvs Wake Forest82–63

A week or more of rest.

Oklahoma St

20-15 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wichita St70–96
  • Wvs Davidson84–80
  • Lvs TCU88–95
  • Wvs Colorado92–83
  • Lvs Houston75–82

A week or more of rest.