1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. UVU @ PAC
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Utah Valley Wolverines at Pacific Tigers

Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific
#150UVUUtah Valley
@
#163PACPacific
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UVUThis seasonPAC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PAC 73–72 · win probability PAC 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UVU has more of the edges

UVU 4, PAC 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UVUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UVU 20.1%, PAC 20.1%. Forced: UVU 21.3%, PAC 15.1%
Context
Schedule so far
UVU has played the 254th-hardest schedule, PAC the 122nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
PACBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UVU 34.8%, PAC 35.3%. Defensive: UVU 68.7%, PAC 75.0%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UVU plays 70.2 a game (104th fastest), PAC 66.1 (312th). Faster games mean more points
PACSmall
Three-pointers
UVU hits 34.0% and allows 35.2%; PAC hits 35.8% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 32.9% and 35.4% of their shots
UVUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UVU 44%, PAC 8%. Transfers in: UVU 3, PAC 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
UVUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UVU 38.2, PAC 30.5. Allowed: UVU 39.1, PAC 36.3
UVUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UVU 55.0 and allows 49.4; PAC 52.2 and allows 50.0
PACSmall
Home court
PAC at home. This season: PAC 0-0 at home, UVU 0-0 away
Even
PAC offense vs UVU defense
Offense 195th of 366 against a defense 152nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
UVU offense vs PAC defense
Offense 161st of 366 against a defense 147th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PAC -1.0—
Total—145.4—
Projected score—UVU 72.2 · PAC 73.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPAC -0.5—
1H total68.0—
1H projected scoreUVU 33.8 · PAC 34.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Utah Valley 2, Pacific 2, even 1
Utah ValleyBetterPacific
G T. Davis TR7.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
PACBig
G J. Winston TR15.5 pts · 3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 74
G B. Housley4.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.7 ast Score 5
PACSmall
G C. Amundsen TR9.4 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 34
G S. Weatherspoon4.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 20
Even
G C. Jones TR3.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 17
F I. Davis10.7 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.2 ast Score 83
UVUBig
F G. Ripp TR3.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 10
F I. Hawkins7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 94
UVUBig
F J. Pitt4.4 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 57
Utah ValleyBetterPacific
UVU offense161st of 366 · -4.8
Even
PAC defense147th of 366 · -3.2
UVU defense152nd of 366 · -3.3
Even
PAC offense195th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt-6.7 · 3 players
PACBig
Backcourt-2.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
UVUBig
Frontcourt-1.7 · 2 players
Bench-0.6 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUVU betterPAC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Utah Valley
Guards
T. Davis27 min · TRB. Housley26 minS. Weatherspoon16 minD. Nelson8 min · TRJ. Barnes5 min · TRM. BabraitisNew
Forwards
I. Davis19 minI. Hawkins14 minT. Weaver8 minT. Medaris5 minO. MowafakNewD. DengNew
Pacific
Guards
J. Winston36 min · TRC. Amundsen30 min · TRC. Jones17 min · TRA. Nyorha10 min · TRD. Harris6 min · TRN. BuduNew
Forwards
G. Ripp17 min · TRJ. Pitt17 minJ. Thompson11 min · TRV. OsazeeNewJ. CarotNew
Centers
J. McFarland3 min · TRI. Matlekovic2 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UVUPAC
Scoring
77.7 #101Points per game71.3 #262
1.11 #126Points per possession1.08 #176
70.2 #104Pace (possessions)66.1 #312
Shooting
55.0 #38Effective FG%52.2 #140
34.0 #1703-point %35.8 #65
32.9 #3173-point attempt rate35.4 #266
38.2 #98Free throw rate30.5 #297
Possessions
20.1 #349Turnover rate20.1 #350
34.8 #51Offensive rebound rate35.3 #42
17.5 #14Assists per game14.9 #93
Defense
70.8 #72Points allowed69.8 #60
1.01 #32Points allowed per possession1.05 #93
49.4 #78Opponent effective FG%50.0 #101
35.2 #260Opponent 3-point %34.7 #233
21.3 #7Turnovers forced15.1 #281
68.7 #221Defensive rebound rate75.0 #8
9.3 #6Steals per game5.4 #309
5.1 #14Blocks per game2.2 #332
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Utah Valley

22-9 in 2025-26 overall · 15-5 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs G Washington78–79
  • Lvs CA Baptist61–63
  • Wvs UT Arlington67–65
  • W@ Utah Tech104–101
  • W@ Southern Utah92–88

A week or more of rest.

Pacific

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Santa Clara68–76
  • Wvs Seattle U61–58
  • Lvs San Francisco61–72
  • L@ Gonzaga62–71
  • L@ Washington St70–87

A week or more of rest.