1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 4
  3. FDU @ BTLR
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 4

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at Butler Bulldogs

Hinkle Fieldhouse · at Butler
#356FDUFDU
@
#72BTLRButler
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FDUThis seasonBTLR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BTLR 88–61 · win probability BTLR 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 148.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BTLR has more of the edges

FDU 0, BTLR 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BTLRBig
BTLR offense vs FDU defense
Offense 56th of 366 against a defense 320th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
FDU has played the 308th-hardest schedule, BTLR the 56th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BTLRBig
FDU offense vs BTLR defense
Offense 356th of 366 against a defense 107th, on the model’s ratings
BTLRBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: FDU 32.8, BTLR 42.1. Allowed: FDU 36.3, BTLR 24.9
BTLRBig
Three-pointers
FDU hits 30.3% and allows 37.8%; BTLR hits 32.7% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 45.2% and 35.0% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: FDU plays 64.4 a game (356th fastest), BTLR 71.1 (69th). Faster games mean more points
BTLRBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: FDU 47.1 and allows 55.2; BTLR 50.9 and allows 51.9
BTLRSmall
Home court
BTLR at home. This season: BTLR 0-0 at home, FDU 0-0 away
BTLRSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FDU 18.2%, BTLR 15.9%. Forced: FDU 16.1%, BTLR 15.1%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FDU 32.0%, BTLR 34.5%. Defensive: FDU 72.7%, BTLR 70.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FDU 27%, BTLR 22%. Transfers in: FDU 3, BTLR 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BTLR -26.4—
Total—148.6—
Projected score—FDU 61.1 · BTLR 87.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBTLR -15.6—
1H total69.5—
1H projected scoreFDU 27 · BTLR 42.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Butler has the better starters

Position by position: FDU 0, Butler 3, even 2
FDUBetterButler
G D. Jevtic6.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 25
BTLRBig
G J. Ellerbee TR13.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 66
G R. Johnson4.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 10
No call
G J. Jackson9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.8 ast Not ranked
G R. Elijah Godbolt1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 1
BTLRBig
F C. Moore TR11.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 46
F P. Stosic TR3.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 16
BTLRBig
F T. Anderson TR10.8 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 92
F B. Agu TR2.7 pts · 2 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
C D. Jones6.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76
FDUBetterButler
FDU offense356th of 366 · -13.3
BTLRBig
BTLR defense107th of 366 · -1.1
FDU defense320th of 366 · -8.3
BTLRBig
BTLR offense56th of 366 · +3.1
Backcourt-5.8 · 3 players
BTLRBig
Backcourt+1.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
BTLRBig
Frontcourt+3.5 · 3 players
Bench-1.3 · 3 players
BTLRSmall
Bench+0.9 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestFDU betterBTLR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
FDU
Guards
D. Jevtic21 minR. Johnson17 minR. Elijah Godbolt12 minT. McQuaid2 minJ. JacobsNewA. CandaNew
Forwards
P. Stosic16 min · TRB. Agu10 min · TRT. Torain9 min · TRA. RatliffNew
Centers
S. Haubro3 min
Butler
Guards
J. Ellerbee28 min · TRJ. Jackson23 minE. Klafke15 min · TRE. McComb1 minB. WalkerNewS. AdlerNew
Forwards
C. Moore26 min · TRT. Anderson19 min · TRS. Calderon4 min · TRH. BrutusNewB. CardinalNewM. MaricNew
Centers
D. Jones20 minK. NdzieNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FDUBTLR
Scoring
65.1 #349Points per game79.4 #75
1.01 #314Points per possession1.12 #106
64.4 #356Pace (possessions)71.1 #69
Shooting
47.1 #333Effective FG%50.9 #199
30.3 #3393-point %32.7 #242
45.2 #633-point attempt rate35.0 #276
32.8 #240Free throw rate42.1 #29
Possessions
18.2 #280Turnover rate15.9 #131
32.0 #125Offensive rebound rate34.5 #58
11.4 #316Assists per game15.5 #64
Defense
72.7 #123Points allowed77.5 #252
1.13 #280Points allowed per possession1.09 #195
55.2 #336Opponent effective FG%51.9 #208
37.8 #354Opponent 3-point %33.3 #142
16.1 #218Turnovers forced15.1 #272
72.7 #46Defensive rebound rate70.0 #163
4.8 #344Steals per game6.5 #178
1.5 #362Blocks per game3.2 #191
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

FDU

8-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Mercyhurst61–70
  • L@ Long Island60–74
  • L@ Le Moyne59–76
  • Lvs New Haven77–84
  • W@ Chicago St60–59

A week or more of rest.

Butler

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-14 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Providence81–91
  • W@ DePaul81–71
  • Lvs Creighton59–76
  • L@ Villanova73–82
  • Wvs Xavier80–75

A week or more of rest.