Moda Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
#148KENNKennesaw St AP #1464final
Final
#17GONZGonzaga AP #373▲ winner
Closing lineGONZ -20.5✓ KENN covered by 11.5
Closing total152.5Under by 15.5
Season records: Kennesaw St and Gonzaga
KENNThis seasonGONZ
18-13Record30-3
15-16ATS18-15
15-16O/U11-22

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: KENN 70–90 GONZ · ✓ GONZ (96%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
KENN273764
GONZ334073

1st half: KENN 27, GONZ 33 (GONZ by 6). The model had GONZ by 11.7 and a total of 74.7 (actual 60).

Team stats

KENNGONZ
21-58 36%Field goals25-63 40%
3-17 18%3-pointers3-18 17%
19-26 73%Free throws20-23 87%
34 11 offRebounds45 16 off
7Assists17
9Steals7
4Blocks5
11Turnovers10
18Fouls19
32Points in paint36
2Fast-break points12

Players

KENNMINPTSREBASTFG3P
RJ Johnson G3515244-120-3
Braedan Lue F345212-110-3
Frankquon Sherman F32131004-81-3
Trey Simpson F282610-30-1
Amir Taylor F2415717-130-2
Bench
Kaden Rickard G2214204-72-3
Jaden Harris G170100-30-2
Perry Smith Jr. C80200-10-0

Did not play: Brendan Tousignaut, Nigel Thomas, Darius Washington III, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Davin Cosby Jr., Eric Holland, Charles Stone, Simeon Cottle, Ramone Seals, Chase Clemmons

GONZMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Graham Ike F3619806-130-1
Mario Saint-Supery G367482-111-7
Emmanuel Innocenti G347432-51-3
Jalen Warley G29121255-90-0
Adam Miller G152101-30-1
Bench
Davis Fogle G2517506-131-4
Tyon Grant-Foster G219513-90-2
Braeden Smith G20000-00-0
Ismaila Diagne C20000-00-0

Did not play: Alonzo Metz, Parker Jefferson, Noah Haaland, Cade Orness, Joaquim ArauzMoore, Braden Huff, Steele Venters

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGONZ -20.5
ModelGONZ -19.8
Model edgeKENN +0.7
W KENN covered
Total
Market152.5
Model159.9
Model edgeOver 7.4
L Under
Projected score
KENN 70 · GONZ 89.9
KENN 64 · GONZ 73
Win probability
GONZ 96%
1st half
Spread
GONZ -11.7
GONZ -6.0
Total
74.7
60 points
Projected score
KENN 31.5 · GONZ 43.2
KENN 27 · GONZ 33

Market

Open → close
Spread
2 pts toward GONZ
Total
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
KENN +1400 · GONZ -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GONZ -18.5 · closed GONZ -20.5 · moved 2 toward GONZmodel GONZ -20
Opened 157.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 5 downmodel 160
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Kennesaw St

18-13 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–73
  • Wvs Western KY96–87
  • L@ New Mexico St76–79
  • L@ UTEP71–78

5 days since their last game.

Gonzaga

30-3 overall · 18-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Santa Clara79–68
  • Wvs Oregon St65–56
  • L@ Saint Mary's59–70
  • Wvs Portland89–48
  • Wvs Pacific71–62

A week or more of rest.