Thomas & Mack Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
CSU -7.5✓ FRES covered by 3.5
CSU -7.5✓ FRES covered by 3.5Closing total146.5Under by 16.5
 FRES | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-18 | Record | 19-11 |
| 20-10 | ATS | 18-12 |
| 12-18 | O/U | 17-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FRES 69–75 CSU · ✓ CSU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| CSU | 27 | 40 | 67 |
1st half: FRES 32, CSU 27 (FRES by 5). The model had CSU by 3.2 and a total of 67.2 (actual 59).
Team stats
| FRES | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-52 46% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 8-8 100% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 31 5 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 40 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 8-15 | 4-9 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 39 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-7 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 39 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Faas G | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 29 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gasper Kocevar C | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Nathan Zulemie, DJ Stickman, Zaon Collins, Troy Jenkins, David Douglas Jr., Makhan Diouf, Jac Mani
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carey Booth F | 35 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 33 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 31 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Jase Butler G | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 7-13 | 6-9 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 31 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Pascarelli G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Jojo McIver G | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Darnez Slater G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen, Nikola Djapa
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSU -7.5
ModelCSU -5.6
Model edgeFRES +1.9
W FRES covered
Total
Market146.5
Model143.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
FRES 69 · CSU 74.6
FRES 63 · CSU 67
Win probability
CSU 69%
1st half
Spread
CSU -3.2
FRES -5.0
Total
67.2
59 points
Projected score
FRES 32 · CSU 35.2
FRES 32 · CSU 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -6.5
1 → CSU
CloseCSU -7.5
1 pt toward CSU
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
FRES +270 · CSU -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -6.5 · closed CSU -7.5 · moved 1 toward CSUmodel CSU -5.5
model CSU -5.5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| CSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
FRES 1–8 CSUCSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · FRES 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025-26 | FRES 70 @ CSU 74 | CSU -8.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | CSU 69 @ FRES 79 | FRES +3.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CSU 69 @ FRES 64 | FRES +11.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | FRES 64 @ CSU 91 | CSU -15.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CSU 73 @ FRES 61 | FRES +6.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fresno St
30 games played
Straight up
12-18
40% wins
Against the spread
20-10
67% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vs USU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs NEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @ SJSU | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ SDSU | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 13 | vsCSU | W 79-69 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | vs WYO | W 63-60 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNM | L 74-83 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs GCU | L 57-68 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @ AF | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | vsUNLV | W 98-96 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | @NEV | L 59-69 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 10 | @USU | L 78-91 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vsAF | W 93-63 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 17 | @WYO | L 82-92 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNM | L 78-80 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 24 | @CSU | L 70-74 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | vs BOIS | L 53-69 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 122 |
| Mar 3 | vsSJSU | W 82-68 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Mar 7 | @GCU | L 60-85 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
+13.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−4.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+13.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
+6.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+6.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−6.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
+7.5
3
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-96
+3.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-69
+1.5
10
@USU
USUL 78-91
+8.5
14
vsAF
AFW 93-63
+15.5
17
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
−0.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+7.5
24
@CSU
CSUL 70-74
+4.5
28
vsBOIS
BOISL 53-69
−8.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-68
+6.5
7
@GCU
GCUL 60-85
−12.5
covered 20didn’t cover 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
−24.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−23.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+8.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
−22.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+5.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−20.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
−0.5
3
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-96
+40.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-69
−21.5
10
@USU
USUL 78-91
+16.5
14
vsAF
AFW 93-63
+13.5
17
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+25.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+1.5
24
@CSU
CSUL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsBOIS
BOISL 53-69
−27.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-68
−1.5
7
@GCU
GCUL 60-85
−4.5
over 12under 18avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vsNEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vsUNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vsUNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @FRES | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @BOIS | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsAF | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsUSU | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | @SDSU | L 50-73 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @WYO | L 57-68 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSJSU | W 65-57 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @AF | W 91-74 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | vsWYO | W 79-68 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @UNLV | W 91-86 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 21 | vsSDSU | W 83-74 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsFRES | W 74-70 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | @SJSU | W 85-73 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 4 | @UNM | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vsBOIS | L 67-78 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
−13.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
−0.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
+9.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
+1.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−13.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−9.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−7.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-74
+0.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 79-68
+7.5
18
@UNLV
UNLVW 91-86
+7.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 83-74
+12.5
24
vsFRES
FRESW 74-70
−4.5
28
@SJSU
SJSUW 85-73
+7.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 82-74
+16.5
7
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-78
−12.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
+8.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
+11.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
−0.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
−23.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−16.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−17.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−16.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-74
+27.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 79-68
+6.5
18
@UNLV
UNLVW 91-86
+29.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 83-74
+17.5
24
vsFRES
FRESW 74-70
−5.5
28
@SJSU
SJSUW 85-73
+6.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 82-74
+5.5
7
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-78
+1.5
over 17under 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fresno St
12-18 overall · 7-13 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grand Canyon60–85
- Wvs San José St82–68
- Lvs Boise St53–69
- L@ Colorado St70–74
- Lvs New Mexico78–80
4 days since their last game.
Colorado St
19-11 overall · 11-9 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Boise St67–78
- W@ New Mexico82–74
- W@ San José St85–73
- Wvs Fresno St74–70
- Wvs San Diego St83–74
4 days since their last game.