Propst Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MOST -1.5✓ MOST covered by 1.5
MOST -1.5✓ MOST covered by 1.5Closing total152.5Under by 5.5
| MOST | This season | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 12-16 |
| 16-12 | ATS | 16-12 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MOST 77–78 FIU · ✗ FIU (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| FIU | 36 | 36 | 72 |
1st half: MOST 31, FIU 36 (FIU by 5). The model had FIU by 0.7 and a total of 72.2 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MOST | FIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-49 53% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 3-14 21% |
| 12-22 55% | Free throws | 17-27 63% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 38 16 off |
| 18 | Assists | 6 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Kobi Williams G | 36 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Keith Palek III F | 34 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 34 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryder Cheesman, Collin Clark, Amar Kuljuhovic, Logan Epes, Antwan Burnett
| FIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Stephenson G | 37 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 9-15 | 2-6 |
| Eric Dibami C | 36 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Zawdie Jackson G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Julian Mackey G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Hamed Olayinka F | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ibrahim Olajuwon C | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Brit Harris G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Thiago Sucatzky G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Williamson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gvidas Gicevicius, Jorge Santos, Amarion Nimmers, Kennedy Brown, Renato Ruiz, Aydan Clinton, Mikey Kelvin II
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMOST -1.5
ModelFIU -1.3
Model edgeFIU +2.8
L MOST covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
MOST 76.5 · FIU 77.8
MOST 75 · FIU 72
Win probability
FIU 54%
1st half
Spread
FIU -0.7
FIU -5.0
Total
72.2
67 points
Projected score
MOST 35.7 · FIU 36.4
MOST 31 · FIU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFIU -1.5
3 → MOST
CloseMOST -1.5
3 pts toward MOST
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MOST -122 · FIU +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FIU -1.5 · closed MOST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MOSTmodel FIU -1.5
model FIU -1.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| FIU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MOST 1–1 FIUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MOST 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | MOST 67 @ FIU 70 | FIU -3.5 | MOST W |
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | FIU 71 @ MOST 79 | MOST -2.5 | MOST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri St
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vs NMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @ KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsFIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @ WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | @ MTSU | L 87-90 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 22 | @NMSU | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @UTEP | W 62-57 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vs SHSU | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs JXST | W 74-67 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 7 | @ LIB | L 76-79 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | vs LT | L 78-79 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsDEL | L 67-76 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 18 | vsKENN | L 87-91 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 21 | @FIU | L 67-70 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 26 | @LT | L 70-72 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @SHSU | L 81-86 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 5 | vsWKU | W 87-74 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 7 | vsMTSU | L 63-75 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+2.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+15.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
+3.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+2.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+6.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
−4.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
−18.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
−5.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
+0.5
26
@LT
LTL 70-72
+0.5
28
@SHSU
SHSUL 81-86
+1.5
5
vsWKU
WKUW 87-74
+14.5
7
vsMTSU
MTSUL 63-75
−14.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+39.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+14.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
−20.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
+2.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+5.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+14.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
+20.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
+7.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
+25.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
−17.5
26
@LT
LTL 70-72
+3.5
28
@SHSU
SHSUL 81-86
+14.5
5
vsWKU
WKUW 87-74
+8.5
7
vsMTSU
MTSUL 63-75
−7.5
over 17under 11avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
FIU
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEB | L 66-96 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ LSU | L 81-98 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs JMU | L 72-80 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | vs OMA | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs FGCU | W 89-83 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 6 | vs JAX | W 88-65 | -5.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ MIA | L 81-98 | +22.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 20 | vsLIU | W 86-79 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vsLIB | L 94-97 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsNMSU | W 89-74 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUTEP | W 76-64 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 7 | @JXST | L 64-71 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @MOST | L 71-79 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @KENN | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | vsSHSU | L 63-76 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | @UTEP | L 77-83 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @NMSU | W 81-78 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsJXST | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | @MTSU | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @WKU | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 12 | vsDEL | L 66-68 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsLT | W 77-64 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 19 | @LIB | L 89-90 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 21 | vsMOST | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 26 | @SHSU | L 67-100 | +6.5 | L −26.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @LT | W 84-76 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 5 | vsMTSU | L 67-73 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 7 | vsWKU | W 92-67 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
−8.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+4.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−10.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
+8.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+7.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+17.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+5.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+0.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+16.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
+5.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−5.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−5.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
+2.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 63-76
−15.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 77-83
−7.5
24
@NMSU
NMSUW 81-78
+10.5
28
vsJXST
JXSTL 74-78
−7.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUW 88-84
+9.5
7
@WKU
WKUL 70-80
−5.5
12
vsDEL
DELL 66-68
−10.5
14
vsLT
LTW 77-64
+9.5
19
@LIB
LIBL 89-90
+8.5
21
vsMOST
MOSTW 70-67
−0.5
26
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-100
−26.5
28
@LT
LTW 84-76
+10.5
5
vsMTSU
MTSUL 67-73
−7.5
7
vsWKU
WKUW 92-67
+26.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
+5.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+20.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−3.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
−22.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+17.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+7.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+17.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+3.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+38.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+5.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
−12.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−15.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−3.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
−0.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 63-76
−29.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 77-83
+8.5
24
@NMSU
NMSUW 81-78
−0.5
28
vsJXST
JXSTL 74-78
+3.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUW 88-84
+17.5
7
@WKU
WKUL 70-80
−9.5
12
vsDEL
DELL 66-68
−13.5
14
vsLT
LTW 77-64
−5.5
19
@LIB
LIBL 89-90
+26.5
21
vsMOST
MOSTW 70-67
−17.5
26
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-100
+5.5
28
@LT
LTW 84-76
+14.5
5
vsMTSU
MTSUL 67-73
−13.5
7
vsWKU
WKUW 92-67
−1.5
over 14under 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri St
11-17 overall · 8-12 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs MTSU63–75
- Wvs Western KY87–74
- L@ Sam Houston81–86
- L@ Louisiana Tech70–72
- L@ FIU67–70
3 days since their last game.
FIU
12-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Western KY92–67
- Lvs MTSU67–73
- W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
- L@ Sam Houston67–100
- Wvs Missouri St70–67
3 days since their last game.