Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St · Conference game
Closing line
MOST -2.5✓ MTSU covered by 14.5
MOST -2.5✓ MTSU covered by 14.5Closing total145.5Under by 7.5
 MTSU | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 13-14 | Record | 11-16 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 17-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 74–73 MOST · ✓ MTSU (51%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| MOST | 27 | 36 | 63 |
1st half: MTSU 37, MOST 27 (MTSU by 10). The model had MTSU by 0.3 and a total of 68.7 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MTSU | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 14-16 88% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 33 5 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston F | 33 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Kamari Lands G | 28 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Tre Green G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Sean Smith G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Chris Loofe F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jahvin Carter G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jarred Hall F | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 37 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-14 | 1-8 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 35 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 9-14 | 0-0 |
| Kobi Williams G | 34 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Keith Palek III F | 33 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 28 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Boone F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Logan Epes, Collin Clark, Antwan Burnett, Amar Kuljuhovic, Ryder Cheesman
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -1.5
1 → MOST
CloseMOST -2.5
1 pt toward MOST
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU +114 · MOST -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -1.5 · closed MOST -2.5 · moved 1 toward MOSTmodel MTSU -0.5
model MTSU -0.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MOST -2.5 | MTSU -0.3 | MTSU +2.8 | W MTSU covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 146.9 | Over 1.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MTSU 73.6 · MOST 73.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MTSU -0.3 | MTSU -10.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | MTSU 34.5 · MOST 34.2 | MTSU 37 · MOST 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| MOST | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MTSU 2–1 MOSTMTSU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 2 meetings · MTSU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | MOST 87 @ MTSU 90 | MTSU -5.5 | MOST W |
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | MOST 73 @ MTSU 77 | MTSU -1.5 | MTSU W |
| Nov 19, 2022-23 | MTSU 51 @ MOST 75 | MOST -2 | MOST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
27 games played
Straight up
13-14
48% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vsMOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @ JXST | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vs LIB | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs WKU | L 60-65 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs FIU | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @ DEL | L 88-89 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 12 | @KENN | W 90-87 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 14 | @WKU | L 80-82 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | @SHSU | L 70-78 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | vsDEL | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 26 | vsUTEP | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 28 | vsNMSU | W 86-85 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 5 | @FIU | W 73-67 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−18.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
−14.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−11.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
−9.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
−6.5
12
@KENN
KENNW 90-87
+6.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 80-82
+1.5
18
@SHSU
SHSUL 70-78
−4.5
21
vsDEL
DELW 78-66
+1.5
26
vsUTEP
UTEPW 77-67
+1.5
28
vsNMSU
NMSUW 86-85
−4.5
5
@FIU
FIUW 73-67
+7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−0.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
+9.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−15.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
+17.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
+43.5
12
@KENN
KENNW 90-87
+28.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 80-82
+16.5
18
@SHSU
SHSUL 70-78
−3.5
21
vsDEL
DELW 78-66
+6.5
26
vsUTEP
UTEPW 77-67
+4.5
28
vsNMSU
NMSUW 86-85
+22.5
5
@FIU
FIUW 73-67
−13.5
over 14under 13avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vsUTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vsNMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsFIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | @MTSU | L 87-90 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 22 | @NMSU | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @UTEP | W 62-57 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsSHSU | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsJXST | W 74-67 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 7 | @LIB | L 76-79 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | vsLT | L 78-79 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsDEL | L 67-76 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 18 | vsKENN | L 87-91 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 21 | @FIU | L 67-70 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 26 | @LT | L 70-72 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @SHSU | L 81-86 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 5 | vsWKU | W 87-74 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+2.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+15.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
+3.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+2.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+6.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
−4.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
−18.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
−5.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
+0.5
26
@LT
LTL 70-72
+0.5
28
@SHSU
SHSUL 81-86
+1.5
5
vsWKU
WKUW 87-74
+14.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+39.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+14.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
−20.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
+2.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+5.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+14.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
+20.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
+7.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
+25.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
−17.5
26
@LT
LTL 70-72
+3.5
28
@SHSU
SHSUL 81-86
+14.5
5
vsWKU
WKUW 87-74
+8.5
over 17under 10avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
13-14 overall · 10-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ FIU73–67
- Wvs New Mexico St86–85
- Wvs UTEP77–67
- Wvs Delaware78–66
- L@ Sam Houston70–78
2 days since their last game.
Missouri St
11-16 overall · 8-11 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Western KY87–74
- L@ Sam Houston81–86
- L@ Louisiana Tech70–72
- L@ FIU67–70
- Lvs Kennesaw St87–91
2 days since their last game.