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#13ISUIowa State AP #780final
Final
#5ARIZArizona AP #282▲ winner
Closing lineARIZ -3.5✓ ISU covered by 1.5
Closing total144.5Over by 17.5
Season records: Iowa State and Arizona
ISUThis seasonARIZ
27-6Record30-2
19-14ATS18-14
13-20O/U15-17

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ISU 73–76 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (61%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
ISU433780
ARIZ374582

1st half: ISU 43, ARIZ 37 (ISU by 6). The model had ARIZ by 1.7 and a total of 69.9 (actual 80).

Team stats

ISUARIZ
31-66 47%Field goals32-58 55%
14-31 45%3-pointers8-16 50%
4-8 50%Free throws10-16 63%
34 15 offRebounds33 11 off
14Assists19
8Steals9
2Blocks4
11Turnovers12
16Fouls14
26Points in paint38
13Fast-break points3

Players

ISUMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Milan Momcilovic F36285010-188-14
Joshua Jefferson F3321429-173-7
Tamin Lipsey G318472-111-5
Killyan Toure G2712315-92-3
Blake Buchanan F258434-70-0
Bench
Nate Heise G233311-20-1
Dominykas Pleta F150300-00-0
Jamarion Batemon G100000-20-1

Did not play: Anthony Rise, Dominick Nelson, Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Eric Mulder, Xzavion Mitchell

ARIZMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Ivan Kharchenkov F3217356-92-3
Jaden Bradley G3115276-110-0
Motiejus Krivas C277403-40-1
Koa Peat F264652-40-0
Brayden Burries G203100-70-3
Bench
Anthony Dell'Orso G29265010-146-9
Tobe Awaka F27101015-90-0
Dwayne Aristode F80010-00-0

Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Sidi Gueye, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Addison Arnold, Evan Nelson

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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ISU +142 · ARIZ -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -4.5 · closed ARIZ -3.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ARIZ -3
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edgeResult
SpreadARIZ -3.5ARIZ -3.1ISU +0.4W ISU covered
Total144.5149.4Over 4.9W Over
Projected score—ISU 73.1 · ARIZ 76.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadARIZ -1.7ISU -6.0
1H total69.980
1H projected scoreISU 34.1 · ARIZ 35.8ISU 43 · ARIZ 37

Iowa State

27-6 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Texas Tech75–53
  • Wvs Arizona St91–42
  • Wvs Arizona St86–65
  • L@ Arizona57–73
  • Lvs Texas Tech73–82

1 day since their last game.

Arizona

30-2 overall · 17-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs UCF81–59
  • W@ Colorado89–79
  • Wvs Iowa State73–57
  • Wvs Kansas84–61
  • W@ Baylor87–80

1 day since their last game.