Trojan Arena · at Troy
Closing line
AKR -2.5✓ TROY covered by 12.5
AKR -2.5✓ TROY covered by 12.5Closing total157.5Under by 9.5
| AKR | This season | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| 17-4 | Record | 14-8 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 14-8 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 84–81 TROY · ✗ AKR (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| TROY | 35 | 44 | 79 |
1st half: AKR 29, TROY 35 (TROY by 6). The model had AKR by 2.3 and a total of 77.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| AKR | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 8-30 27% | 3-pointers | 14-27 52% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 38 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 11-21 | 1-6 |
| Amani Lyles F | 29 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 28 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Sharron Young G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Zach Halligan F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 26 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 3-10 | 3-7 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 20 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Chabi Barre F | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Henderson, Tai Perkins, Ognjen Stankovic, Conner Groce, Rich Brisco, Cody Head
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Campbell G | 34 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 10-15 | 5-9 |
| Thomas Dowd F | 32 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Victor Valdes F | 29 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2-12 | 2-4 |
| Theo Seng F | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Austin Cross G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Hikaru Awata, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Javen Colbert, Emmanuel Clarton, Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Corbin Green
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -4.5
2 → TROY
CloseAKR -2.5
2 pts toward TROY
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
AKR -148 · TROY +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -4.5 · closed AKR -2.5 · moved 2 toward TROYmodel AKR -3.5
model AKR -3.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -2.5 | AKR -3.6 | AKR +1.1 | L TROY covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 164.7 | Over 7.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | AKR 84.2 · TROY 80.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -2.3 | TROY -6.0 |
| 1H total | 77.0 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | AKR 39.7 · TROY 37.4 | AKR 29 · TROY 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| TROY | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs CMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs BALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs WMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @ BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs TOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vs KENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
over 11under 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Troy
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vsTOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs MRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs TXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs USA | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARST | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ UL | W 90-70 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vs USM | W 91-65 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | vsARST | W 99-74 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 21 | @ ODU | W 83-77 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ GASO | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | vsJMU | L 64-73 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | vs APP | L 44-66 | -7.5 | L −29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | @ GAST | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
+0.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−7.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+10.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+17.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+21.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+0.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+0.5
29
vsJMU
JMUL 64-73
−18.5
31
vsAPP
APPL 44-66
−29.5
4
@GAST
GASTW 74-63
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
−40.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−0.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+23.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+10.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+7.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+7.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+1.5
29
vsJMU
JMUL 64-73
−10.5
31
vsAPP
APPL 44-66
−27.5
4
@GAST
GASTW 74-63
−7.5
over 12under 10avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
17-4 overall · 10-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Michigan66–64
- Wvs Kent State69–52
- Wvs Toledo91–81
- W@ Ohio86–65
- W@ Buffalo82–63
4 days since their last game.
Troy
14-8 overall · 9-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia St74–63
- Lvs App State44–66
- Lvs James Madison64–73
- W@ GA Southern83–78
- W@ Old Dominion83–77
3 days since their last game.