Atlantic Union Bank Center · at James Madison
Closing line
TOL -1.5✓ JMU covered by 3.5
TOL -1.5✓ JMU covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Under by 9.5
| TOL | This season | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 10-13 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 7-16 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 78–77 JMU · ✗ TOL (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| JMU | 32 | 41 | 73 |
1st half: TOL 32, JMU 32 (tied). The model had TOL by 0.6 and a total of 72.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| TOL | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 27 6 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 39 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 8-14 | 1-3 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 37 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 8-19 | 3-7 |
| Sean Craig F | 27 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Austin Parks C | 24 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Mynor Strong G | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 27 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Will James Jr. G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| London Praytor F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tyler Ode, Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle, Phoenix Glassnor
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis G | 33 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Preston Fowler F | 25 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Kose Egbule G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Justin McBride F | 18 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradley Douglas G | 28 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 18 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Christian Brown F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Paul Jones III G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Justin Taylor G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Paul Lewis, Ike Cornish
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -1.5
no move
CloseTOL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Close153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TOL -118 · JMU -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -1.5 · unchangedmodel TOL -0.5
model TOL -0.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TOL -1.5 | TOL -0.7 | JMU +0.8 | W JMU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.7 | Over 1.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TOL 77.7 · JMU 77 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TOL -0.6 | PK |
| 1H total | 72.4 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | TOL 36.5 · JMU 35.9 | TOL 32 · JMU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| JMU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TOL 1–0 JMUTOL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TOL 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | JMU 69 @ TOL 72 | TOL +1.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vs M-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs OHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @ MASS | L 82-84 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vs BGSU | W 73-72 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @ AKR | L 81-91 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vs BALL | W 73-55 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vsKENT | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+0.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
+2.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+2.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
+9.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
20
@MASS
MASSL 82-84
+1.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUW 73-72
−10.5
27
@AKR
AKRL 81-91
+3.5
31
vsBALL
BALLW 73-55
−18.5
3
vsKENT
KENTL 72-75
−14.5
over 9under 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
James Madison
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
7-16
30% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @ GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsMRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @ APP | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @MRSH | L 72-77 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsUSA | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 24 | vs TXST | W 82-57 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @TROY | W 73-64 | +9.5 | W +18.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ USM | L 65-73 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs UL | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
−12.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
+1.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
−11.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
+19.5
29
@TROY
TROYW 73-64
+18.5
31
@USM
USML 65-73
−6.5
4
vsUL
ULL 61-64
−12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 16avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
+11.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−0.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
+34.5
24
vsTXST
TXSTW 82-57
−4.5
29
@TROY
TROYW 73-64
−10.5
31
@USM
USML 65-73
−5.5
4
vsUL
ULL 61-64
−7.5
over 11under 12avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
10-11 overall · 6-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kent State72–75
- Wvs Ball State73–55
- L@ Akron81–91
- Wvs Bowling Green73–72
- L@ UMass82–84
4 days since their last game.
James Madison
10-13 overall · 4-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Louisiana61–64
- L@ Southern Miss65–73
- W@ Troy73–64
- Wvs Texas St82–57
- Lvs South Alabama83–90
3 days since their last game.