Banterra Center · at S Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
SIU -5.5✓ DRKE covered by 8.5
SIU -5.5✓ DRKE covered by 8.5Closing total144.5Over by 4.5
 DRKE | This season | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | Record | 7-9 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 71–76 SIU · ✗ SIU (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 26 | 41 | 9 | 76 |
| SIU | 37 | 30 | 6 | 73 |
1st half: DRKE 26, SIU 37 (SIU by 11). The model had SIU by 2.9 and a total of 68.8 (actual 63).
Team stats
| DRKE | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 27-75 36% |
| 8-34 24% | 3-pointers | 3-26 12% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 44 9 off | Rebounds | 47 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 38 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Andrew Alia G | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Okku Federiko F | 33 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Owen Larson G | 32 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 32 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 6-12 | 5-11 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Wilguens Jr. Exacte, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 39 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7-16 | 1-6 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 35 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4-16 | 0-2 |
| Drew Steffe G | 31 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-9 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 25 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Pikaar F | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Davion Sykes G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Isaiah Stafford, Jaheem Webber, Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIU -5.5
ModelSIU -5.0
Model edgeDRKE +0.5
W DRKE covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
W Over
Projected score
DRKE 71 · SIU 76
DRKE 76 · SIU 73
Win probability
SIU 67%
1st half
Spread
SIU -2.9
SIU -11.0
Total
68.8
63 points
Projected score
DRKE 33 · SIU 35.9
DRKE 26 · SIU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -5.5
no move
CloseSIU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 3
Close144.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +210 · SIU -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -5.5 · unchangedmodel SIU -5
model SIU -5
Opened 147.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| SIU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DRKE 9–1 SIUDRKE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 6 meetings · DRKE 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | SIU 53 vs DRKE 70 | DRKE -10.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | DRKE 75 @ SIU 65 | SIU +6.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | SIU 88 @ DRKE 92 | DRKE -10.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | DRKE 76 @ SIU 58 | SIU +1.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | SIU 52 vs DRKE 65 | DRKE -4.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vs ILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vs INST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @ BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs BEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
over 7under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
S Illinois
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vsUAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vsILST | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @BRAD | L 69-73 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @MUR | L 81-84 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | vs VAL | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @BEL | W 68-67 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UIC | L 57-70 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−8.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
+2.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
+3.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−2.5
4
@BEL
BELW 68-67
+7.5
7
@UIC
UICL 57-70
−14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−10.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
−10.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
−0.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−0.5
4
@BEL
BELW 68-67
−23.5
7
@UIC
UICL 57-70
−19.5
over 5under 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
6-9 overall · 2-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Belmont76–78
- L@ Bradley66–93
- Wvs Indiana St74–72
- Lvs Illinois St56–73
- W@ Evansville66–65
4 days since their last game.
S Illinois
7-9 overall · 2-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UIC57–70
- W@ Belmont68–67
- Wvs Valparaiso75–70
- L@ Murray St81–84
- L@ Bradley69–73
A week or more of rest.