Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State · Conference game
Closing line
USU -7.5✓ UNM covered by 3.5
USU -7.5✓ UNM covered by 3.5Closing total155.5Over by 28.5
 UNM | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-8 | Record | 23-6 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 12-17 |
| 20-9 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNM 75–81 USU · ✓ USU (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 43 | 47 | 90 |
| USU | 42 | 52 | 94 |
1st half: UNM 43, USU 42 (UNM by 1). The model had USU by 3.6 and a total of 72.9 (actual 85).
Team stats
| UNM | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 13-29 45% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 30-36 83% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall G | 38 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 11-22 | 7-17 |
| Luke Haupt G | 35 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 30 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Deyton Albury G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chol F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 29 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 19 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| JT Rock C | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chris Howell, Kevin Patton Jr., Kallai Patton, Milos Vicentic, Sir Marius Jones, Timeo Pons
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Allen G | 37 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Mason Falslev G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-10 |
| Zach Keller F | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Karson Templin F | 23 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Garry Clark F | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tucker Anderson, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe, Jordy Barnes, David Iweze
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -7.5
ModelUSU -6.3
Model edgeUNM +1.2
W UNM covered
Total
Market155.5
Model156.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
UNM 74.8 · USU 81.1
UNM 90 · USU 94
Win probability
USU 71%
1st half
Spread
USU -3.6
UNM -1.0
Total
72.9
85 points
Projected score
UNM 34.6 · USU 38.3
UNM 43 · USU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -7.5
no move
CloseUSU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNM +245 · USU -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -7.5 · unchangedmodel USU -6.5
model USU -6.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| USU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNM 3–6 USUUSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNM 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | USU 86 @ UNM 66 | UNM -1.5 | USU W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | USU 79 @ UNM 82 | UNM -5.5 | USU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UNM 82 @ USU 63 | USU -4.5 | UNM W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UNM 85 @ USU 87 | USU -4.5 | UNM W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | USU 86 @ UNM 99 | UNM -5.5 | UNM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-9
69% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs ETAM | W 76-54 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTA | W 74-56 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs UCR | W 82-68 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ NMSU | L 68-76 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 20 | vs NEB | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs MSST | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALST | W 93-87 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs SCU | W 98-71 | -1.5 | W +25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @ VCU | W 81-78 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 14 | vs FGCU | W 75-59 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJSU | W 88-65 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ BOIS | L 53-62 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | vs WYO | W 78-58 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 6 | @ CSU | W 80-70 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ AF | W 91-49 | -16.5 | W +25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | vs GCU | W 87-64 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ SDSU | L 79-83 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vs FRES | W 83-74 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs NEV | W 80-73 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | @ UNLV | W 89-61 | -3.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 31 | @SJSU | W 90-80 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 4 | vsUSU | L 66-86 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | vsBOIS | L 90-91 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 11 | @GCU | W 70-64 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | vsAF | W 98-61 | -28.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 21 | @FRES | W 80-78 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 24 | @NEV | L 60-67 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | vsSDSU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 4 | vsCSU | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
−13.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+25.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+11.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+6.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−3.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
+12.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+8.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-49
+25.5
13
vsGCU
GCUW 87-64
+16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 79-83
+1.5
21
vsFRES
FRESW 83-74
−6.5
24
vsNEV
NEVW 80-73
−1.5
27
@UNLV
UNLVW 89-61
+24.5
31
@SJSU
SJSUW 90-80
−5.5
4
vsUSU
USUL 66-86
−21.5
7
vsBOIS
BOISL 90-91
−5.5
11
@GCU
GCUW 70-64
+7.5
17
vsAF
AFW 98-61
+8.5
21
@FRES
FRESW 80-78
−7.5
24
@NEV
NEVL 60-67
−5.5
28
vsSDSU
SDSUW 81-76
+3.5
4
vsCSU
CSUL 74-82
−16.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
+31.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+15.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+1.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
−25.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+0.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−31.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
−15.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+6.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-49
+1.5
13
vsGCU
GCUW 87-64
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 79-83
+13.5
21
vsFRES
FRESW 83-74
+5.5
24
vsNEV
NEVW 80-73
+2.5
27
@UNLV
UNLVW 89-61
−5.5
31
@SJSU
SJSUW 90-80
+21.5
4
vsUSU
USUL 66-86
−4.5
7
vsBOIS
BOISL 90-91
+28.5
11
@GCU
GCUW 70-64
−14.5
17
vsAF
AFW 98-61
+10.5
21
@FRES
FRESW 80-78
+1.5
24
@NEV
NEVL 60-67
−21.5
28
vsSDSU
SDSUW 81-76
+6.5
4
vsCSU
CSUL 74-82
+5.5
over 20under 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
29 games played
Straight up
23-6
79% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vsVCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vsCSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsSJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vsNEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vsUNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vsWYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsSDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 10 | vsFRES | W 91-78 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vs MEM | W 99-75 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 18 | vsBOIS | W 75-56 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @NEV | L 77-80 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @SDSU | L 72-89 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | vsGCU | W 74-69 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 3 | @UNLV | L 65-92 | -7.5 | L −34.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
−8.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+10.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
+9.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
−8.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
−18.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
−34.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
+16.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+18.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
−20.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
+10.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
+14.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
+0.5
over 17under 12avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico
21-8 overall · 13-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colorado St74–82
- Wvs San Diego St81–76
- L@ Nevada60–67
- W@ Fresno St80–78
- Wvs Air Force98–61
3 days since their last game.
Utah State
23-6 overall · 14-5 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNLV65–92
- Wvs Grand Canyon74–69
- L@ San Diego St72–89
- L@ Nevada77–80
- Wvs Boise St75–56
4 days since their last game.