Reilly Center · at St Bonaventure · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -1.5✓ GMU covered by 2.5
GMU -1.5✓ GMU covered by 2.5Closing total142.5Over by 7.5
| GMU | This season | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| 18-2 | Record | 12-8 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 7-13 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 14-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GMU 74–71 SBU · ✓ GMU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 31 | 46 | 77 |
| SBU | 39 | 34 | 73 |
1st half: GMU 31, SBU 39 (SBU by 8). The model had GMU by 2.1 and a total of 67.6 (actual 70).
Team stats
| GMU | SBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-56 55% | Field goals | 27-49 55% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 5-11 45% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 14-25 56% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 22 5 off |
| 14 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 39 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Kory Mincy G | 35 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 9-15 | 2-6 |
| Masai Troutman G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Nick Ellington F | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 24 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Stas Sivka F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 14 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Woodward, T.J. Prosise, Brayden O'Connor, Dola Adebayo, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy
| SBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasonte Bowen G | 40 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Darryl Simmons II G | 40 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Cayden Charles G | 37 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Frank Mitchell F | 35 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 9-13 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Egbuniwe F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joe Grahovac F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Andrew Osasuyi F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack DeRose, Broek Ostrom, Xander Wedlow, Brayden Jackson, Ilia Ermakov, John Ikpotokin, Achille Lonati, Amar'e Marshall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -1.5
ModelGMU -3.3
Model edgeGMU +1.8
W GMU covered
Total
Market142.5
Model144.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
GMU 73.9 · SBU 70.6
GMU 77 · SBU 73
Win probability
GMU 61%
1st half
Spread
GMU -2.1
SBU -8.0
Total
67.6
70 points
Projected score
GMU 34.9 · SBU 32.8
GMU 31 · SBU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSBU -1.5
3 → GMU
CloseGMU -1.5
3 pts toward GMU
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
GMU -118 · SBU -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SBU -1.5 · closed GMU -1.5 · moved 3 toward GMUmodel GMU -3.5
model GMU -3.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| SBU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GMU 3–1 SBUGMU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 2 meetings · GMU 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | GMU 75 @ SBU 62 | SBU -1.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SBU 60 @ GMU 69 | GMU -2.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 4, 2022-23 | GMU 69 @ SBU 73 | SBU -0.5 | SBU W |
| Jan 26, 2021-22 | SBU 66 @ GMU 75 | GMU +2.5 | GMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
George Mason
20 games played
Straight up
18-2
90% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @ FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vs VCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @ LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vs GW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 28 | vs DAV | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
+1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
−22.5
over 10under 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Bonaventure
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-6
70% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRAD | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CAN | W 89-70 | -21.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIE | W 75-66 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs YSU | W 84-80 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs RMU | W 75-61 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNC | L 70-85 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs ECU | W 67-58 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 30 | @FAU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUF | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs COLG | W 85-77 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vsOHIO | L 83-88 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs LEM | W 92-81 | -21.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 31 | @VCU | L 82-89 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vs RICH | L 80-89 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsFOR | L 77-81 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ JOES | L 64-68 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | @LAS | L 74-78 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsLUC | W 84-70 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 23 | vs SLU | L 62-97 | +8.5 | L −26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | @ DUQ | W 87-79 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
+4.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
−2.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
−0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
−5.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
+2.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
−4.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−1.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
+6.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+2.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
−1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-88
−11.5
20
vsLEM
LEMW 92-81
−10.5
31
@VCU
VCUL 82-89
+2.5
7
vsRICH
RICHL 80-89
−15.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 77-81
−12.5
14
@JOES
JOESL 64-68
−5.5
17
@LAS
LASL 74-78
−9.5
20
vsLUC
LUCW 84-70
+3.5
23
vsSLU
SLUL 62-97
−26.5
28
@DUQ
DUQW 87-79
+11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
−7.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
+22.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
+0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
+17.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
−10.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
+2.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−19.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
−11.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+1.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
+19.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-88
+20.5
20
vsLEM
LEMW 92-81
+21.5
31
@VCU
VCUL 82-89
+13.5
7
vsRICH
RICHL 80-89
+15.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 77-81
+15.5
14
@JOES
JOESL 64-68
−15.5
17
@LAS
LASL 74-78
+10.5
20
vsLUC
LUCW 84-70
+6.5
23
vsSLU
SLUL 62-97
−0.5
28
@DUQ
DUQW 87-79
+15.5
over 14under 6avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
George Mason
18-2 overall · 7-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Davidson60–52
- L@ Rhode Island65–74
- Wvs G Washington69–64
- W@ Loyola Chicago82–74
- Wvs VCU86–80
3 days since their last game.
St Bonaventure
12-8 overall · 2-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Duquesne87–79
- Lvs Saint Louis62–97
- Wvs Loyola Chicago84–70
- L@ La Salle74–78
- L@ Saint Joseph's64–68
3 days since their last game.