Yuengling Center · at South Florida · Conference game
Closing line
USF -18.5✓ ECU covered by 7.5
USF -18.5✓ ECU covered by 7.5Closing total158.5Under by 5.5
 ECU | This season | USF |
|---|---|---|
| 4-11 | Record | 9-6 |
| 4-11 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ECU 72–89 USF · ✓ USF (94%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| USF | 44 | 38 | 82 |
1st half: ECU 31, USF 44 (USF by 13). The model had USF by 10.4 and a total of 75.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ECU | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 25-65 38% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 15-25 60% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 40 9 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 39 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 9-23 | 0-2 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 33 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Tybo Bailey G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Reid Cason F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Caulker G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Demitri Gardner G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Eli DeLaurier C | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Luke Davis F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Patrick D'Arcy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daithi Quinn, Vito Perkovic, Jake Baker, Ladontae Felton, Grant Smith, Trevion LaBeaux, Jayshayne Woodard
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 31 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 25 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 24 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 23 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2-11 | 2-7 |
| CJ Brown G | 21 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Haid G | 20 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 16 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Daimion Collins F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Sanders, De'Ante Green, Xavier Brown, Onyx Nnani
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -19.5
1 → ECU
CloseUSF -18.5
1 pt toward ECU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ECU +1200 · USF -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -19.5 · closed USF -18.5 · moved 1 toward ECUmodel USF -17.5
model USF -17.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USF -18.5 | USF -17.7 | ECU +0.8 | W ECU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 161.0 | Over 2.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ECU 71.6 · USF 89.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USF -10.4 | USF -13.0 |
| 1H total | 75.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | ECU 32.5 · USF 42.9 | ECU 31 · USF 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| USF | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ECU 4–5 USFUSF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ECU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | USF 55 @ ECU 64 | ECU -4.5 | ECU W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | ECU 69 @ USF 75 | USF -1.5 | USF W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | ECU 59 vs USF 81 | USF -8.5 | USF W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | USF 71 @ ECU 60 | ECU -1.5 | USF W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | ECU 73 vs USF 58 | USF -3.5 | ECU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
East Carolina
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
4-11
27% covers · avg −7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GASO | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ RICH | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNCW | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs CHSO | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSU | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs SBU | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs UMES | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCG | L 78-82 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 11 | vs APP | L 54-67 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs BUF | W 73-70 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRES | W 74-53 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 22 | @ UNC | L 51-99 | +25.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 31 | vs TULN | L 70-79 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 7 | @ TEM | L 67-75 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | vs UAB | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
−2.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
−9.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−18.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−25.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
−13.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
+1.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−0.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
−11.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−17.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
+1.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
+16.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
−22.5
31
vsTULN
TULNL 70-79
−7.5
7
@TEM
TEML 67-75
−0.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 85-87
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 11avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
+29.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
+15.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−0.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−15.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
+4.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
−19.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−3.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
+20.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−9.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
−3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
−4.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
+5.5
31
vsTULN
TULNL 70-79
+3.5
7
@TEM
TEML 67-75
−1.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 85-87
+21.5
over 7under 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Florida
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
over 9under 6avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
East Carolina
4-11 overall · 0-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UAB85–87
- L@ Temple67–75
- Lvs Tulane70–79
- L@ North Carolina51–99
- Wvs Presbyterian74–53
3 days since their last game.
South Florida
9-6 overall · 2-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Tulsa93–78
- W@ North Texas74–70
- Lvs UAB106–109
- Wvs UMBC94–69
- L@ Alabama93–104
4 days since their last game.