McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -8.5✓ TTU covered by 11.5
ARIZ -8.5✓ TTU covered by 11.5Closing total156.5Under by 3.5
 TTU | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 18-6 | Record | 23-1 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 14-10 |
| 11-13 | O/U | 13-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 73–83 ARIZ · ✗ ARIZ (81%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 32 | 34 | 12 | 78 |
| ARIZ | 32 | 34 | 9 | 75 |
1st half: TTU 32, ARIZ 32 (tied). The model had ARIZ by 5.8 and a total of 73.1 (actual 64).
Team stats
| TTU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-66 41% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 23-31 74% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 41 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 45 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 6-18 | 6-15 |
| JT Toppin F | 44 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 13-22 | 1-3 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 44 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leon Horner G | 26 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Moseley F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LaTrell Hoover, Marial Akuentok, Nolan Groves, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 41 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4-14 | 0-2 |
| Brayden Burries G | 38 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 38 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 38 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Koa Peat F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 37 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Sven Djopmo, Dwayne Aristode, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Addison Arnold, Evan Nelson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -8.5
ModelARIZ -9.9
Model edgeARIZ +1.4
L TTU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model156.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
W Under
Projected score
TTU 73.2 · ARIZ 83.2
TTU 78 · ARIZ 75
Win probability
ARIZ 81%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -5.8
tied
Total
73.1
64 points
Projected score
TTU 33.7 · ARIZ 39.5
TTU 32 · ARIZ 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -10.5
2 → TTU
CloseARIZ -8.5
2 pts toward TTU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TTU +360 · ARIZ -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -10.5 · closed ARIZ -8.5 · moved 2 toward TTUmodel ARIZ -10
model ARIZ -10
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 156.5 matches the line
model 156.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| ARIZ | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TTU 1–2 ARIZARIZ leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · ARIZ has won the last 2 meetings · TTU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | ARIZ 86 vs TTU 80 | TTU -1.5 | ARIZ W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | TTU 73 @ ARIZ 82 | ARIZ -3.5 | ARIZ W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ARIZ 54 @ TTU 70 | TTU -4.5 | TTU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
24 games played
Straight up
18-6
75% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @ HOU | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLO | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vs UTAH | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs BYU | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @ BAY | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsHOU | W 90-86 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 31 | @ UCF | L 80-88 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 2 | vs KU | L 61-64 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 8 | @ WVU | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vsCOLO | W 78-44 | -13.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
+3.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−3.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
−3.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
+10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+17.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+5.5
31
@UCF
UCFL 80-88
−13.5
2
vsKU
KUL 61-64
−6.5
8
@WVU
WVUW 70-63
+2.5
11
vsCOLO
COLOW 78-44
+20.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
−8.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−17.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
+2.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
−10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+10.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+34.5
31
@UCF
UCFL 80-88
+8.5
2
vsKU
KUL 61-64
−30.5
8
@WVU
WVUW 70-63
−6.5
11
vsCOLO
COLOW 78-44
−33.5
over 11under 13avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
24 games played
Straight up
23-1
96% wins
Against the spread
14-10
58% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs CIN | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vsWVU | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @BYU | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ASU | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vsOKST | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @KU | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
+12.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
+17.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+1.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−1.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
+16.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
−9.5
covered 14didn’t cover 10avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
−24.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
−2.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+2.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−2.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
−37.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
+7.5
over 13under 11avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
18-6 overall · 8-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado78–44
- W@ West Virginia70–63
- Lvs Kansas61–64
- L@ UCF80–88
- Wvs Houston90–86
3 days since their last game.
Arizona
23-1 overall · 10-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas78–82
- Wvs Oklahoma St84–47
- W@ Arizona St87–74
- W@ BYU86–83
- Wvs West Virginia88–53
5 days since their last game.