Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -14.5✓ BAY covered by 11.5
ISU -14.5✓ BAY covered by 11.5Closing total151.5Under by 10.5
 BAY | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-9 | Record | 20-2 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 13-9 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 72–84 ISU · ✓ ISU (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| ISU | 37 | 35 | 72 |
1st half: BAY 33, ISU 37 (ISU by 4). The model had ISU by 7.0 and a total of 72.9 (actual 70).
Team stats
| BAY | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 11-31 35% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 40 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Obi Agbim G | 40 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-10 |
| Cameron Carr G | 40 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 8-15 | 5-10 |
| Caden Powell C | 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Rataj G | 20 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| James Nnaji C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Perry, Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, JJ White, Dan Skillings Jr.
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-6 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 35 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 33 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-4 |
| Killyan Toure G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dominick Nelson, Anthony Rise, Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Eric Mulder, Xzavion Mitchell
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -15.5
1 → BAY
CloseISU -14.5
1 pt toward BAY
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BAY +900 · ISU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -15.5 · closed ISU -14.5 · moved 1 toward BAYmodel ISU -12
model ISU -12
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -14.5 | ISU -12.0 | BAY +2.5 | W BAY covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 155.9 | Over 4.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BAY 72 · ISU 83.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -7.0 | ISU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 72.9 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | BAY 33 · ISU 40 | BAY 33 · ISU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
BAY 3–6 ISUISU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ISU has won the last 3 meetings · BAY 0-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | ISU 70 @ BAY 60 | BAY +3.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | BAY 55 @ ISU 74 | ISU -7.5 | ISU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | BAY 62 vs ISU 76 | ISU -1.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | ISU 68 @ BAY 70 | BAY -4.5 | ISU W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | ISU 78 vs BAY 72 | BAY -4.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
21 games played
Straight up
12-9
57% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vsISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @ KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vs TTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @ CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 4 | vs COLO | W 86-67 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
−2.5
over 12under 9avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
22 games played
Straight up
20-2
91% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vsSJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vsCREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vsALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vsWVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsOKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs UCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vsCOLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @ KSU | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
+21.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
−0.5
over 10under 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
12-9 overall · 3-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado86–67
- W@ West Virginia63–53
- L@ Cincinnati57–67
- Lvs TCU90–97
- Lvs Texas Tech73–92
3 days since their last game.
Iowa State
20-2 overall · 7-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas St95–61
- Wvs Colorado97–67
- W@ Oklahoma St84–71
- Wvs UCF87–57
- L@ Cincinnati70–79
6 days since their last game.