Fertitta Center · at Houston · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -15.5✓ HOU covered by 8.5
HOU -15.5✓ HOU covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Under by 12.5
 UCF | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-4 | Record | 19-2 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 10-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCF 67–81 HOU · ✓ HOU (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 19 | 36 | 55 |
| HOU | 33 | 46 | 79 |
1st half: UCF 19, HOU 33 (HOU by 14). The model had HOU by 8.4 and a total of 69.5 (actual 52).
Team stats
| UCF | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-52 31% | Field goals | 35-64 55% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 3-19 16% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 34 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 30 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Riley Kugel G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1-10 | 1-5 |
| John Bol C | 28 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Burks F | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-12 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Chris Johnson G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kris Parker G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Jeremy Foumena, Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston Flemings G | 31 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 8-12 | 0-2 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 29 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-4 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Milos Uzan G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kalifa Sakho F | 22 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mercy Miller G | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cedric Lath C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase McCarty F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -13.5
2 → HOU
CloseHOU -15.5
2 pts toward HOU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCF +850 · HOU -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -13.5 · closed HOU -15.5 · moved 2 toward HOUmodel HOU -14.5
model HOU -14.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -15.5 | HOU -14.4 | UCF +1.1 | L HOU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 148.4 | Over 1.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCF 67 · HOU 81.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HOU -8.4 | HOU -14.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 52 |
| 1H projected score | UCF 30.5 · HOU 39 | UCF 19 · HOU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| HOU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UCF 0–7 HOUHOU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 7 meetings · UCF 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | HOU 69 @ UCF 68 | UCF +13.5 | UCF W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | HOU 67 @ UCF 59 | UCF +8.5 | UCF W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UCF 42 @ HOU 57 | HOU -17.5 | UCF W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | HOU 82 @ UCF 71 | UCF +9.5 | HOU W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | UCF 65 @ HOU 71 | HOU -15.5 | UCF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCF
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ COLO | W 95-86 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 27 | vs ASU | W 79-76 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs TTU | W 88-80 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+12.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−3.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+13.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+21.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−6.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+8.5
over 8under 13avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
21 games played
Straight up
19-2
90% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vsTOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vsOAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vsTTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs WVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vsASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @ TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
over 10under 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCF
17-4 overall · 6-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas Tech88–80
- Wvs Arizona St79–76
- W@ Colorado95–86
- L@ Iowa State57–87
- Lvs Arizona77–84
4 days since their last game.
Houston
19-2 overall · 7-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cincinnati76–54
- W@ TCU79–70
- L@ Texas Tech86–90
- Wvs Arizona St103–73
- Wvs West Virginia77–48
4 days since their last game.