CU Events Center · at Colorado · Conference game
Closing line
TCU -1.5✓ COLO covered by 27.5
TCU -1.5✓ COLO covered by 27.5Closing total153.5Under by 5.5
| TCU | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 13-8 | Record | 12-9 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 9-12 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 79–77 COLO · ✗ TCU (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 25 | 36 | 61 |
| COLO | 38 | 49 | 87 |
1st half: TCU 25, COLO 38 (COLO by 13). The model had TCU by 1.6 and a total of 72.9 (actual 63).
Team stats
| TCU | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-63 33% | Field goals | 35-63 56% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 6-13 46% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 8 | Assists | 24 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre G | 30 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Brock Harding G | 26 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| David Punch F | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 20 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Micah Robinson G | 19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Jace Posey G | 13 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Kayden Edwards G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| RJ Jones G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Simmons G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Malick Diallo, Trey Stuart, Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-5 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Jalin Holland G | 23 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Rancik F | 25 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 6-8 | 3-4 |
| Bangot Dak F | 21 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ian Inman G | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Malone C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Crawford F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Randall F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leonardo Van Elswyk, Jon Mani
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTCU -1.5
no move
CloseTCU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TCU -125 · COLO +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TCU -1.5 · unchangedmodel TCU -2.5
model TCU -2.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -1.5 | TCU -2.4 | TCU +0.9 | L COLO covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 155.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TCU 79.1 · COLO 76.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TCU -1.6 | COLO -13.0 |
| 1H total | 72.9 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | TCU 37.2 · COLO 35.7 | TCU 25 · COLO 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| COLO | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TCU 1–2 COLOCOLO leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · COLO has won the last 2 meetings · TCU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | COLO 69 vs TCU 67 | TCU -2.5 | COLO W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | TCU 56 @ COLO 76 | COLO -2.5 | COLO W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | COLO 57 @ TCU 68 | TCU -5.5 | TCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTAH | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs OKST | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BAY | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs HOU | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
−7.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−5.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+11.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
−0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
+6.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−28.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+39.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
+9.5
over 10under 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
21 games played
Straight up
12-9
57% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vsUTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vsKU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCF | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 29 | @ ISU | L 67-97 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
−12.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
−12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
+21.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
+11.5
over 11under 10avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
13-8 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Houston70–79
- W@ Baylor97–90
- Wvs Oklahoma St68–65
- L@ Utah79–82
- L@ BYU70–76
4 days since their last game.
Colorado
12-9 overall · 2-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State67–97
- Lvs UCF86–95
- Lvs Kansas69–75
- L@ West Virginia61–72
- L@ Cincinnati68–77
3 days since their last game.