Dunn-Oliver Acadome · at Alabama St · Conference game
Closing line
ALST -7.5✓ JKST covered by 18.5
Closing total153.5Under by 14.5
| This season | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-12 | Record | 3-11 |
| 4-10 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JKST 74–81 ALST · ✗ ALST (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JKST | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| ALST | 27 | 37 | 64 |
1st half: JKST 37, ALST 27 (JKST by 10). The model had ALST by 4.0 and a total of 72.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| JKST | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 24-73 33% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 2-22 9% |
| 28-32 88% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 52 26 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| JKST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeshun Ruffin G | 37 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 9-20 | 0-3 |
| Dorian McMillian G | 34 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-2 |
| Jayme Mitchell Jr. G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Devin Ree F | 28 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Dionjahe Thomas F | 19 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tamarion Hoover G | 20 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Raevon Thomas F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Delyle Williams G | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kobe Butler F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Tatum, Ebo Wilson, Kedrick Simmons, Deyan Kolev, Mike Williams, Cael Jones, Keiveon Hunt
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjon Anderson G | 38 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4-18 | 2-9 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 27 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Micah Simpson G | 27 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0-13 | 0-6 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 26 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| R'Chaun King F | 13 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 29 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7-17 | 0-4 |
| Damarien Yates F | 27 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Mario Andrews C | 12 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Mason F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Alabi, Jordon Marshall, Tyler Mack, Damarion Bonds, Damion Cox Jr., Trey Miller, JaSteven Walker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALST -7.5
ModelALST -6.8
Model edgeJKST +0.7
W JKST covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
L Under
Projected score
JKST 73.9 · ALST 80.8
JKST 75 · ALST 64
Win probability
ALST 73%
1st half
Spread
ALST -4.0
JKST -10.0
Total
72.4
64 points
Projected score
JKST 34.2 · ALST 38.2
JKST 37 · ALST 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALST -7.5
no move
CloseALST -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
JKST +260 · ALST -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALST -7.5 · unchangedmodel ALST -7
model ALST -7
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | |
| 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JKST 3–2 ALSTJKST leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · JKST 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | ALST 60 vs JKST 56 | JKST -2.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | ALST 70 @ JKST 77 | JKST -2.5 | JKST W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | JKST 73 @ ALST 63 | ALST +1.5 | JKST W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | ALST 58 @ JKST 61 | JKST -7.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 8, 2021-22 | JKST 57 @ ALST 72 | ALST +3 | ALST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jackson St
14 games played
Straight up
2-12
14% wins
Against the spread
4-10
29% covers · avg −7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 55-113 | +28.5 | L −29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 70-106 | +38.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 51-68 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 66-112 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 61-115 | +29.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 62-80 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | @ | W 51-45 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 73-88 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 38-80 | +40.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 53-93 | +30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | vs | L 77-84 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | vs | L 72-82 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 64-115 | +30.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 89-86 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ILL
L 55-113
−29.5
6
@
LOU
L 70-106
+2.5
15
@
LT
L 51-68
−8.5
19
@
AUB
L 66-112
−15.5
21
@
ARK
L 61-115
−24.5
23
vs
WIN
L 62-80
−7.5
28
@
UL
W 51-45
+11.5
2
@
KENN
L 73-88
+0.5
10
@
HOU
L 38-80
−1.5
13
@
NU
L 53-93
−9.5
18
vs
HAMP
L 77-84
+1.5
19
vs
NORF
L 72-82
−4.5
29
@
TCU
L 64-115
−20.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 89-86
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 10avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
ILL
L 55-113
+10.5
6
@
LOU
L 70-106
+10.5
15
@
LT
L 51-68
−27.5
19
@
AUB
L 66-112
+21.5
21
@
ARK
L 61-115
+16.5
23
vs
WIN
L 62-80
−21.5
28
@
UL
W 51-45
−40.5
2
@
KENN
L 73-88
+3.5
10
@
HOU
L 38-80
−19.5
13
@
NU
L 53-93
−0.5
18
vs
HAMP
L 77-84
+25.5
19
vs
NORF
L 72-82
+13.5
29
@
TCU
L 64-115
+35.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 89-86
+29.5
over 9under 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama St
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | @ | L 79-90 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
FSU
L 64-101
−12.5
11
@
UAB
W 77-74
+22.5
17
@
COLO
L 66-94
−5.5
19
@
AF
L 64-66
+0.5
21
vs
IUIN
W 101-80
+23.5
23
vs
SIUE
L 68-83
−13.5
26
@
UNM
L 87-93
+13.5
7
@
UTM
L 64-74
−3.5
11
@
MIZ
L 77-85
+18.5
17
@
CIN
L 51-88
−15.5
22
@
MEM
L 67-88
−0.5
29
@
MSST
L 56-94
−20.5
3
@
MVSU
W 89-69
+6.5
5
@
UAPB
L 79-90
−12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
FSU
L 64-101
−1.5
11
@
UAB
W 77-74
−13.5
17
@
COLO
L 66-94
+3.5
19
@
AF
L 64-66
−8.5
21
vs
IUIN
W 101-80
−0.5
23
vs
SIUE
L 68-83
+8.5
26
@
UNM
L 87-93
+31.5
7
@
UTM
L 64-74
−6.5
11
@
MIZ
L 77-85
+6.5
17
@
CIN
L 51-88
−6.5
22
@
MEM
L 67-88
+3.5
29
@
MSST
L 56-94
−4.5
3
@
MVSU
W 89-69
+13.5
5
@
UAPB
L 79-90
+9.5
over 7under 7avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jackson St
2-12 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St89–86
- L@ TCU64–115
- Lvs Norfolk St72–82
- Lvs Hampton77–84
- L@ Northwestern53–93
A week or more of rest.
Alabama St
3-11 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ AR-Pine Bluff79–90
- W@ Miss Valley St89–69
- L@ Mississippi St56–94
- L@ Memphis67–88
- L@ Cincinnati51–88
5 days since their last game.