Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -18.5✓ ORE covered by 8.5
MICH -18.5✓ ORE covered by 8.5Closing total157.5Under by 5.5
| MICH | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 15-1 | Record | 8-9 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 5-12 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MICH 89–71 ORE · ✓ MICH (94%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 40 | 41 | 81 |
| ORE | 41 | 30 | 71 |
1st half: MICH 40, ORE 41 (ORE by 1). The model had MICH by 10.8 and a total of 74.6 (actual 81).
Team stats
| MICH | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-51 49% | Field goals | 27-64 42% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 22-30 73% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 30 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 34 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 30 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 25 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Aday Mara C | 25 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Tschetter F | 23 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| L.J. Cason G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Trey McKenney G | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Malick Kordel, Ricky Liburd, Oscar Goodman, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takai Simpkins G | 39 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 6-16 | 0-4 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 35 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-4 |
| Wei Lin G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2-12 | 1-7 |
| Sean Stewart F | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 10-14 | 1-1 |
| Devon Pryor G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-1 |
| Ege Demir C | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Luke Johnson F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Nate Bittle, Efe Vatan, Jackson Shelstad, Jamari Phillips, Miles Stewart
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -16.5
2 → MICH
CloseMICH -18.5
2 pts toward MICH
Total
Open152.5
▲ 5
Close157.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MICH -2800 · ORE +1300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -16.5 · closed MICH -18.5 · moved 2 toward MICHmodel MICH -18
model MICH -18
Opened 152.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 5 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -18.5 | MICH -17.9 | ORE +0.6 | W ORE covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 159.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MICH 88.6 · ORE 70.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -10.8 | ORE -1.0 |
| 1H total | 74.6 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | MICH 42.7 · ORE 31.9 | MICH 40 · ORE 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| ORE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MICH 1–1 ORESeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MICH 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | ORE 76 @ MICH 80 | MICH -7.5 | ORE W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | MICH 83 @ ORE 86 | ORE -2.5 | ORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan
16 games played
Straight up
15-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
over 7under 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
5-12
29% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vsAUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vsSDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vsUSC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vsGONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs OSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
covered 5didn’t cover 12avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
over 9under 8avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan
15-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Washington82–72
- Lvs Wisconsin88–91
- W@ Penn State74–72
- Wvs USC96–66
- Wvs McNeese112–71
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
8-9 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nebraska55–90
- Lvs Ohio State62–72
- L@ Rutgers85–88
- W@ Maryland64–54
- Wvs Omaha80–57
4 days since their last game.