Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -13.5✓ MD covered by 1.5
UCLA -13.5✓ MD covered by 1.5Closing total147.5Under by 25.5
 MD | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 7-8 | Record | 10-5 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 10-5 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 68–79 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| UCLA | 38 | 29 | 67 |
1st half: MD 21, UCLA 38 (UCLA by 17). The model had UCLA by 7.0 and a total of 68.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| MD | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-66 30% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 6-33 18% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 48 20 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington F | 38 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 34 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 27 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Darius Adams G | 25 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 5-15 | 1-6 |
| Andre Mills G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-13 | 1-8 |
| Myles Rice G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Alston F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lukas Sotell, Nick Blake, Guillermo Del Pino, Jaziah Harper, Rakease Passmore, Pharrel Payne
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 38 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 37 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Trent Perry G | 35 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Xavier Booker C | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Steven Jamerson II F | 23 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Brown G | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Eric Freeny G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Brandon Williams, Evan Manjikian, Jack Seidler, Skyy Clark
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -13.5
ModelUCLA -11.9
Model edgeMD +1.6
W MD covered
Total
Market147.5
Model146.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
W Under
Projected score
MD 67.5 · UCLA 79.4
MD 55 · UCLA 67
Win probability
UCLA 85%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -7.0
UCLA -17.0
Total
68.8
59 points
Projected score
MD 30.9 · UCLA 37.9
MD 21 · UCLA 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -11.5
2 → UCLA
CloseUCLA -13.5
2 pts toward UCLA
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +650 · UCLA -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -11.5 · closed UCLA -13.5 · moved 2 toward UCLAmodel UCLA -12
model UCLA -12
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MD 2–1 UCLAMD leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MD has won the last 2 meetings · MD 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | UCLA 61 @ MD 79 | MD -5.5 | MD W |
| Dec 22, 2023-24 | MD 69 @ UCLA 60 | UCLA -3.5 | MD W |
| Dec 14, 2022-23 | UCLA 87 @ MD 60 | MD -1.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs IU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
over 10under 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vsGONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
over 8under 7avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
7-8 overall · 0-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Indiana66–84
- Lvs Oregon54–64
- Wvs Old Dominion73–58
- L@ Virginia72–80
- Lvs Michigan83–101
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
10-5 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin72–80
- L@ Iowa61–74
- Wvs UC Riverside97–65
- Wvs Cal Poly108–87
- Wvs Arizona St90–77
4 days since their last game.