Case Gym · at Boston U · Conference game
Closing line
BU -7.5✓ BU covered by 1.5
BU -7.5✓ BU covered by 1.5Closing total140.5Over by 50.5
 ARMY | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | Record | 5-10 |
| 9-5 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARMY 71–79 BU · ✓ BU (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 39 | 52 | 91 |
| BU | 51 | 49 | 100 |
1st half: ARMY 39, BU 51 (BU by 12). The model had BU by 4.8 and a total of 70.3 (actual 90).
Team stats
| ARMY | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-66 47% | Field goals | 34-51 67% |
| 16-34 47% | 3-pointers | 15-23 65% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 25 11 off | Rebounds | 29 4 off |
| 15 | Assists | 22 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| ARMY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Curry G | 33 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 8-16 | 4-8 |
| Jorn Everson F | 25 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Kevin McCarthy G | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jacen Holloway F | 20 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Tate Laczkowski F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jackson Furman G | 29 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Jaxson Bell G | 19 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Alex Engro G | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Joshua Eli F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Dylan Murans, Chanse Perkins, Jahaan Green, Dylan Benner, Dillon Watt, Jackson Mayo, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Dayon Polk, Brendon O'Keefe
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 9-11 | 7-8 |
| Chance Gladden G | 30 | 26 | 2 | 6 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Azmar Abdullah G | 29 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-6 |
| Ben Defty C | 28 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Malcolm Chimezie F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sam Hughes F | 35 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 25 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Roy, Quinn Nielsen, Andrew Bhesania, Otto Landrum, Matai Baptiste, Ethan Okwuosa, Kyrone Alexander, Spencer Joyner, Peter Carr
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBU -7.5
ModelBU -8.2
Model edgeBU +0.7
W BU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model150.0
Model edgeOver 9.5
W Over
Projected score
ARMY 70.9 · BU 79.1
ARMY 91 · BU 100
Win probability
BU 76%
1st half
Spread
BU -4.8
BU -12.0
Total
70.3
90 points
Projected score
ARMY 32.7 · BU 37.5
ARMY 39 · BU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBU -8.5
1 → ARMY
CloseBU -7.5
1 pt toward ARMY
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARMY +270 · BU -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BU -8.5 · closed BU -7.5 · moved 1 toward ARMYmodel BU -8
model BU -8
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| BU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ARMY 6–3 BUARMY leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ARMY 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | BU 62 @ ARMY 68 | ARMY -2.5 | ARMY W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | ARMY 63 @ BU 71 | BU -4.5 | BU W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | BU 50 @ ARMY 65 | ARMY +1.5 | ARMY W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | ARMY 69 @ BU 59 | BU -5.5 | ARMY W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | BU 69 @ ARMY 71 | ARMY -3.5 | BU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Army
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ STMN | L 76-83 | +18.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs DUKE | L 59-114 | +33.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs HARV | L 52-75 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 18 | @ COR | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ MRST | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ETAM | L 67-84 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ FDU | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MAN | W 81-78 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs GW | L 70-84 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 12 | @ UMBC | W 63-60 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 23 | vs BING | W 95-85 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 31 | @ LEH | W 85-78 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLG | L 69-76 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs L-MD | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STMN
STMNL 76-83
+11.5
11
vsDUKE
DUKEL 59-114
−21.5
15
vsHARV
HARVL 52-75
−16.5
18
@COR
CORL 73-86
+4.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 65-76
+1.5
25
vsETAM
ETAML 67-84
−14.5
26
@FDU
FDUW 81-73
+12.5
29
vsMAN
MANW 81-78
+4.5
2
vsGW
GWL 70-84
+5.5
12
@UMBC
UMBCW 63-60
+10.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 95-85
−2.5
31
@LEH
LEHW 85-78
+12.5
3
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-76
+0.5
7
vsL-MD
L-MDL 76-84
−12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STMN
STMNL 76-83
+7.5
11
vsDUKE
DUKEL 59-114
+20.5
15
vsHARV
HARVL 52-75
−19.5
18
@COR
CORL 73-86
−5.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 65-76
+8.5
25
vsETAM
ETAML 67-84
+7.5
26
@FDU
FDUW 81-73
+1.5
29
vsMAN
MANW 81-78
+6.5
2
vsGW
GWL 70-84
−2.5
12
@UMBC
UMBCW 63-60
−23.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 95-85
+39.5
31
@LEH
LEHW 85-78
+16.5
3
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-76
−2.5
7
vsL-MD
L-MDL 76-84
+13.5
over 9under 5avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
15 games played
Straight up
5-10
33% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +9.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ NU | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs BRWN | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRMK | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ COLU | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vsHARV | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ PSU | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ NKU | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNH | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs ME | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ DART | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs UML | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @ NAVY | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vs AMER | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ LAF | W 83-67 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−1.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
−11.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−18.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−10.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+6.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
−0.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−3.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−4.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
+35.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−3.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+18.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
+21.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−16.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+7.5
over 9under 6avg +9.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Army
5-9 overall · 1-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Loyola MD76–84
- Lvs Colgate69–76
- W@ Lehigh85–78
- Wvs Binghamton95–85
- W@ UMBC63–60
3 days since their last game.
Boston U
5-10 overall · 1-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Lafayette83–67
- Lvs American62–64
- L@ Navy77–82
- Wvs UMass Lowell88–76
- L@ Dartmouth64–77
3 days since their last game.