Premier America Credit Union Arena · at CSU Northridge · Conference game
Closing line
CSUN -2.5✓ CSUN covered by 6.5
CSUN -2.5✓ CSUN covered by 6.5Closing total156.5Under by 17.5
 UCSB | This season | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 6-7 |
| 4-8 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 80–80 CSUN · ✓ CSUN (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 26 | 39 | 65 |
| CSUN | 34 | 40 | 74 |
1st half: UCSB 26, CSUN 34 (CSUN by 8). The model had CSUN by 0.2 and a total of 74.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UCSB | CSUN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-61 34% | Field goals | 24-49 49% |
| 6-30 20% | 3-pointers | 3-18 17% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 23-37 62% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 43 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 30 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-13 | 1-9 |
| CJ Shaw G | 32 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Zion Sensley G | 30 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Colin Smith F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 25 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| ZZ Clark G | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Simcoe, Kyle Haughy, Jason Fontenet II, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, Miro Little, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 35 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 35 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-9 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 35 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 17 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Grady Lewis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Greg Gazarian, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSUN -2.5
ModelCSUN -0.5
Model edgeUCSB +2.0
L CSUN covered
Total
Market156.5
Model159.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
L Under
Projected score
UCSB 79.6 · CSUN 80.1
UCSB 65 · CSUN 74
Win probability
CSUN 52%
1st half
Spread
CSUN -0.2
CSUN -8.0
Total
74.8
60 points
Projected score
UCSB 37.3 · CSUN 37.5
UCSB 26 · CSUN 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -1.5
4 → CSUN
CloseCSUN -2.5
4 pts toward CSUN
Total
Open159.5
▼ 3
Close156.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCSB +114 · CSUN -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -1.5 · closed CSUN -2.5 · moved 4 toward CSUNmodel CSUN -0.5
model CSUN -0.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| CSUN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UCSB 5–5 CSUNSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · UCSB 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | UCSB 78 vs CSUN 72 | CSUN -3.5 | UCSB W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UCSB 77 @ CSUN 103 | CSUN -4.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | CSUN 78 @ UCSB 71 | UCSB -2.5 | CSUN W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | CSUN 87 vs UCSB 84 | UCSB -4.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CSUN 82 @ UCSB 74 | UCSB -5.5 | CSUN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs LBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
over 7under 5avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
CSU Northridge
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vsCSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vsSAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
over 9under 4avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
7-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fullerton84–95
- Wvs Portland79–61
- L@ Green Bay64–67
- Lvs Utah Valley53–68
- Wvs Bakersfield109–84
2 days since their last game.
CSU Northridge
6-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Davis80–89
- L@ Stanford80–88
- Wvs Sacramento St100–88
- W@ Delaware88–66
- Wvs Fresno St89–87
2 days since their last game.