Madison Square Garden · at St John's · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -7.5✓ SJU covered by 24.5
SJU -7.5✓ SJU covered by 24.5Closing total147.5Under by 1.5
 VILL | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-6 | Record | 22-6 |
| 17-11 | ATS | 15-13 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 12-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 70–78 SJU · ✓ SJU (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| SJU | 48 | 41 | 89 |
1st half: VILL 23, SJU 48 (SJU by 25). The model had SJU by 4.8 and a total of 69.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| VILL | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-54 37% | Field goals | 32-61 52% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 8-15 53% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 26 |
| 4 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan F | 29 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Matt Hodge F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malachi Palmer G | 29 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Devin Askew G | 27 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Braden Pierce C | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Stanford, Malcolm Flaggs, Tafara Gapare, Wade Chiddick, Nico Onyekwere
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 30 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 6-12 | 1-1 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 28 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6-8 | 2-3 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Dylan Darling G | 21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joson Sanon G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Ian Jackson G | 22 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Ruben Prey F | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Handje Tamba C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fotis Konstantinidis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kelvin Odih, Casper Pohto, Imran Suljanovic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -5.5
2 → SJU
CloseSJU -7.5
2 pts toward SJU
Total
Open144.5
▲ 3
Close147.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
VILL +280 · SJU -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -5.5 · closed SJU -7.5 · moved 2 toward SJUmodel SJU -8.5
model SJU -8.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -7.5 | SJU -8.3 | SJU +0.8 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VILL 70 · SJU 78.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -4.8 | SJU -25.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | VILL 32.3 · SJU 37.1 | VILL 23 · SJU 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VILL 6–4 SJUVILL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VILL 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | SJU 86 @ VILL 79 | VILL +2.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | SJU 71 @ VILL 73 | VILL +2.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | VILL 68 @ SJU 80 | SJU -6.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | VILL 50 @ SJU 70 | SJU -3.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SJU 81 @ VILL 71 | VILL -3.5 | SJU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
28 games played
Straight up
22-6
79% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vs DEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs CREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @ PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vsSJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vs GTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @ CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @GTWN | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsMARQ | W 77-74 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @CREI | W 80-69 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 17 | @ XAV | W 92-89 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 21 | vsCONN | L 63-73 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsBTLR | W 82-73 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+4.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
−6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+9.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
−1.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−6.5
25
vsBTLR
BTLRW 82-73
−1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+12.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
+6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+3.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
+28.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−5.5
25
vsBTLR
BTLRW 82-73
+7.5
over 17under 11avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
28 games played
Straight up
22-6
79% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vsDEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vsPROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vsMARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vsHALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vsCONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @PROV | W 79-69 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 18 | @MARQ | W 76-70 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsCREI | W 81-52 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 25 | @CONN | L 40-72 | +5.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
+3.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−2.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
+16.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−26.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
−19.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−11.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
−23.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−33.5
over 12under 16avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
22-6 overall · 13-4 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Butler82–73
- Lvs UConn63–73
- W@ Xavier92–89
- W@ Creighton80–69
- Wvs Marquette77–74
3 days since their last game.
St John's
22-6 overall · 15-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UConn40–72
- Wvs Creighton81–52
- W@ Marquette76–70
- W@ Providence79–69
- Wvs Xavier87–82
3 days since their last game.