Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova · Conference game
Closing line
VILL -10.5✓ BTLR covered by 1.5
VILL -10.5✓ BTLR covered by 1.5Closing total147.5Over by 7.5
 BTLR | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 15-13 | Record | 21-6 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 17-10 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 16-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BTLR 73–80 VILL · ✓ VILL (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| VILL | 42 | 40 | 82 |
1st half: BTLR 28, VILL 42 (VILL by 14). The model had VILL by 4.5 and a total of 71.5 (actual 70).
Team stats
| BTLR | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 31-63 49% |
| 3-13 23% | 3-pointers | 10-32 31% |
| 22-27 81% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 28 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack G | 37 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. F | 37 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Michael Ajayi F | 37 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 25 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Drayton Jones C | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yohan Traore F | 23 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Yame Butler G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Keith F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Azavier Robinson, Kevin Ndzie, Bryson Cardinal, Evan Haywood, Jack McCaffery, Ethan McComb, Jalen Jackson
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acaden Lewis G | 35 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 8-14 | 2-8 |
| Duke Brennan F | 34 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 31 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 27 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Matt Hodge F | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 22 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Braden Pierce C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nico Onyekwere, Wade Chiddick, Zion Stanford, Malcolm Flaggs, Tafara Gapare
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVILL -10.5
ModelVILL -7.8
Model edgeBTLR +2.7
W BTLR covered
Total
Market147.5
Model153.0
Model edgeOver 5.5
W Over
Projected score
BTLR 72.6 · VILL 80.4
BTLR 73 · VILL 82
Win probability
VILL 75%
1st half
Spread
VILL -4.5
VILL -14.0
Total
71.5
70 points
Projected score
BTLR 33.5 · VILL 38
BTLR 28 · VILL 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -10.5
no move
CloseVILL -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BTLR +440 · VILL -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -10.5 · unchangedmodel VILL -8
model VILL -8
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| VILL | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
BTLR 2–7 VILLVILL leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · VILL has won the last 4 meetings · BTLR 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | VILL 85 @ BTLR 67 | BTLR -2.5 | VILL W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | BTLR 70 @ VILL 80 | VILL -8.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | VILL 73 @ BTLR 65 | BTLR -1.5 | VILL W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | BTLR 62 @ VILL 72 | VILL -6.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | VILL 81 @ BTLR 88 | BTLR -1.5 | BTLR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Butler
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs PROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 16 | @ CONN | L 60-79 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs NU | W 61-58 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 22 | vs NJIT | W 101-52 | -32.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ CREI | L 85-89 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 3 | vsVILL | L 67-85 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 6 | vs SJU | L 70-84 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ XAV | L 75-89 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | @ HALL | W 77-66 | +6.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | vs DEP | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 23 | vs MARQ | W 87-76 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | @SJU | L 70-92 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs GTWN | L 64-77 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | @PROV | L 87-97 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @MARQ | L 55-70 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | vsCONN | L 70-80 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsHALL | L 56-63 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | @GTWN | W 93-89 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 21 | vsXAV | W 80-75 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−3.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−0.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+16.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+1.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
−20.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−9.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
−15.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
+17.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
−0.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+5.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
−9.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−18.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
−7.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 55-70
−11.5
11
vsCONN
CONNL 70-80
+1.5
15
vsHALL
HALLL 56-63
−1.5
18
@GTWN
GTWNW 93-89
+10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 80-75
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−5.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−35.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+3.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+17.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
+2.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−8.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
+2.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
−1.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
+19.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+1.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
+3.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−8.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
+15.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 55-70
−30.5
11
vsCONN
CONNL 70-80
+6.5
15
vsHALL
HALLL 56-63
−19.5
18
@GTWN
GTWNW 93-89
+34.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 80-75
−4.5
over 15under 13avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
27 games played
Straight up
21-6
78% wins
Against the spread
17-10
63% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vsDEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsCREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vsSJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vsGTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @GTWN | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsMARQ | W 77-74 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @CREI | W 80-69 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 17 | @XAV | W 92-89 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 21 | vsCONN | L 63-73 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+4.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
−6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+9.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
−1.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−6.5
covered 17didn’t cover 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+12.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
+6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+3.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
+28.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−5.5
over 16under 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Butler
15-13 overall · 6-11 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Xavier80–75
- W@ Georgetown93–89
- Lvs Seton Hall56–63
- Lvs UConn70–80
- L@ Marquette55–70
4 days since their last game.
Villanova
21-6 overall · 12-4 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UConn63–73
- W@ Xavier92–89
- W@ Creighton80–69
- Wvs Marquette77–74
- W@ Georgetown80–73
4 days since their last game.