Lenovo Center · at NC State · Conference game
Closing line
NCSU -10.5✓ VT covered by 1.5
NCSU -10.5✓ VT covered by 1.5Closing total154.5Over by 0.5
 VT | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-7 | Record | 17-6 |
| 13-10 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VT 74–84 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 24 | 49 | 73 |
| NCSU | 36 | 46 | 82 |
1st half: VT 24, NCSU 36 (NCSU by 12). The model had NCSU by 5.8 and a total of 73.7 (actual 60).
Team stats
| VT | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 30 5 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neo Avdalas G | 34 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 32 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7-19 | 0-5 |
| Ben Hammond G | 32 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-9 | 0-4 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 30 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Schutt G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Dorn C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Johnson, Izaiah Pasha, Sin'Cere Jones, Brett Freeman, Shamarius Peterkin, Solomon Davis
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Holloman G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 32 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Darrion Williams F | 31 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-6 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 27 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 27 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colt Langdon, Jerry Deng, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins, Scottie Ebube, Jayme Kontuniemi, Alyn Breed
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -10.5
ModelNCSU -9.9
Model edgeVT +0.6
W VT covered
Total
Market154.5
Model157.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
W Over
Projected score
VT 73.8 · NCSU 83.7
VT 73 · NCSU 82
Win probability
NCSU 81%
1st half
Spread
NCSU -5.8
NCSU -12.0
Total
73.7
60 points
Projected score
VT 33.9 · NCSU 39.7
VT 24 · NCSU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -10.5
no move
CloseNCSU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▲ 2
Close154.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
VT +455 · NCSU -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -10.5 · unchangedmodel NCSU -10
model NCSU -10
Opened 152.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| NCSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
VT 3–3 NCSUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · VT has won the last 2 meetings · VT 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | NCSU 76 @ VT 79 | VT +1.5 | VT W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | VT 84 @ NCSU 78 | NCSU -4.5 | VT W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | VT 77 vs NCSU 97 | NCSU -1.5 | NCSU W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | NCSU 73 @ VT 69 | VT -5.5 | NCSU W |
| Jan 19, 2021-22 | VT 62 @ NCSU 59 | NCSU +2 | VT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia Tech
23 games played
Straight up
16-7
70% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs UVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WAKE | L 78-81 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs STAN | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | vs CAL | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | @ SMU | L 76-77 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs ND | W 89-76 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @ SYR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LOU | L 71-85 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 27 | vs GT | W 71-65 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs DUKE | L 58-72 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+2.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−4.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
−2.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
+7.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+6.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
+5.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
+0.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−3.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−11.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
+4.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+21.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
−2.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
−4.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−19.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−18.5
over 11under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
23 games played
Straight up
17-6
74% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vsVCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vsWAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsUVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @ BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | vsGT | L 74-78 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | @ CLEM | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ PITT | W 81-72 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsSYR | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @WAKE | W 96-78 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 3 | @SMU | W 84-83 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−21.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+6.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+2.5
27
vsSYR
SYRW 88-68
+9.5
31
@WAKE
WAKEW 96-78
+12.5
3
@SMU
SMUW 84-83
−0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−2.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+13.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+8.5
27
vsSYR
SYRW 88-68
+4.5
31
@WAKE
WAKEW 96-78
+17.5
3
@SMU
SMUW 84-83
+7.5
over 14under 9avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia Tech
16-7 overall · 5-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke58–72
- Wvs Georgia Tech71–65
- L@ Louisville71–85
- W@ Syracuse76–74
- Wvs Notre Dame89–76
A week or more of rest.
NC State
17-6 overall · 8-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SMU84–83
- W@ Wake Forest96–78
- Wvs Syracuse88–68
- W@ Pitt81–72
- W@ Clemson80–76
4 days since their last game.