Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
PITT -1.5✓ SYR covered by 12.5
PITT -1.5✓ SYR covered by 12.5Closing total142.5Over by 12.5
 SYR | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 7-8 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 70–71 PITT · ✗ PITT (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 48 | 35 | 83 |
| PITT | 37 | 35 | 72 |
1st half: SYR 48, PITT 37 (SYR by 11). The model had PITT by 0.7 and a total of 66.3 (actual 85).
Team stats
| SYR | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-52 56% | Field goals | 28-64 44% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 11-11 100% |
| 28 6 off | Rebounds | 30 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naithan George G | 38 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| J.J. Starling G | 32 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-4 |
| Donnie Freeman F | 30 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Nate Kingz G | 25 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| William Kyle III F | 19 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Akir Souare F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Betsey F | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Luke Fennell, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Bryce Zephir
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Corhen F | 40 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Damarco Minor G | 35 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 28 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-4 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 23 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandin Cummings G | 33 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 11-17 | 2-6 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Kieran Mullen, Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Macari Moore, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPITT -1.5
ModelPITT -1.3
Model edgeSYR +0.2
W SYR covered
Total
Market142.5
Model141.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
L Over
Projected score
SYR 70.1 · PITT 71.4
SYR 83 · PITT 72
Win probability
PITT 55%
1st half
Spread
PITT -0.7
SYR -11.0
Total
66.3
85 points
Projected score
SYR 32.8 · PITT 33.5
SYR 48 · PITT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPITT -1.5
no move
ClosePITT -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +105 · PITT -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PITT -1.5 · unchangedmodel PITT -1.5 matches the line
model PITT -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SYR 3–5 PITTPITT leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · PITT has won the last 2 meetings · SYR 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | SYR 69 @ PITT 80 | PITT -11.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | PITT 77 @ SYR 73 | SYR +8.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | SYR 69 @ PITT 58 | PITT -6.5 | SYR W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | PITT 73 @ SYR 81 | SYR -1.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | SYR 82 @ PITT 99 | PITT -6.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
over 6under 9avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vsHOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vsBING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsCLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
over 8under 7avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
10-5 overall · 1-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia Tech82–72
- Lvs Clemson61–64
- Wvs Stonehill77–48
- Wvs Northeastern91–83
- Wvs Mercyhurst76–62
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
7-8 overall · 0-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Clemson68–73
- L@ Miami69–76
- Wvs Penn State80–46
- Wvs Binghamton103–63
- L@ Villanova61–79
A week or more of rest.