Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
SJSU -6.5✓ AF covered by 0.5
SJSU -6.5✓ AF covered by 0.5Closing total145.5Over by 20.5
| SJSU | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 6-20 | Record | 3-24 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 7-20 |
| 16-10 | O/U | 16-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJSU 73–66 AF · ✓ SJSU (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 42 | 44 | 86 |
| AF | 37 | 43 | 80 |
1st half: SJSU 42, AF 37 (SJSU by 5). The model had SJSU by 4.5 and a total of 65.3 (actual 79).
Team stats
| SJSU | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 13-24 54% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 17-19 89% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Colby Garland G | 38 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Adrian Myers G | 37 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 11-18 | 8-9 |
| Jermaine Washington G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Overstreet F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Douglas Langford F | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yaphet Moundi, Christian Wise, Pasha Goodarzi, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall, Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, Ben Roseborough
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 37 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 6-14 | 5-12 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 33 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Kam Sanders G | 29 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 8-13 | 0-2 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 29 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Eli Robinson F | 27 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| A.J. Patterson G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Walker F | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Riley Dering F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin Hinds G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Marshall, Elliott Taite, Josh Gatete, Keaton Frisch, Brendan Martin, Chris Catchings, Sam Imade
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJSU -6.5
ModelSJSU -7.3
Model edgeSJSU +0.8
L AF covered
Total
Market145.5
Model139.3
Model edgeUnder 6.2
L Over
Projected score
SJSU 73.3 · AF 66
SJSU 86 · AF 80
Win probability
SJSU 74%
1st half
Spread
SJSU -4.5
SJSU -5.0
Total
65.3
79 points
Projected score
SJSU 34.9 · AF 30.4
SJSU 42 · AF 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJSU -6.5
no move
CloseSJSU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▲ 4
Close145.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SJSU -298 · AF +240
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJSU -6.5 · unchangedmodel SJSU -7.5
model SJSU -7.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 upmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| AF | 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SJSU 7–2 AFSJSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJSU has won the last 7 meetings · SJSU 8-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | AF 62 @ SJSU 70 | SJSU -5.5 | SJSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | AF 64 @ SJSU 75 | SJSU -9.5 | SJSU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | SJSU 69 @ AF 62 | AF +2.5 | SJSU W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | AF 66 @ SJSU 73 | SJSU -3.5 | SJSU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | SJSU 70 @ AF 67 | AF -1.5 | SJSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San José St
26 games played
Straight up
6-20
23% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-10
62% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vs SDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | vs FRES | L 55-70 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ GCU | L 58-76 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | vsAF | W 70-62 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNLV | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ NEV | L 54-87 | +16.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ WYO | L 62-66 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 27 | vs BOIS | L 58-89 | +12.5 | L −18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNM | L 80-90 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 7 | @ CSU | L 57-65 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @UNLV | L 75-82 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsGCU | L 79-94 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 17 | vsNEV | W 87-71 | +10.5 | W +26.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | @BOIS | L 69-84 | +18.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−13.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−1.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+2.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−6.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
−16.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
+9.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
−18.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+5.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
+7.5
10
@UNLV
UNLVL 75-82
+5.5
14
vsGCU
GCUL 79-94
−3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVW 87-71
+26.5
21
@BOIS
BOISL 69-84
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−24.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−7.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+3.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−8.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
+3.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
−13.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
+5.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+21.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
−16.5
10
@UNLV
UNLVL 75-82
+7.5
14
vsGCU
GCUL 79-94
+33.5
17
vsNEV
NEVW 87-71
+16.5
21
@BOIS
BOISL 69-84
+6.5
over 16under 10avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
27 games played
Straight up
3-24
11% wins
Against the spread
7-20
26% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vsUSU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsFRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDSU | L 54-88 | +22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vsCSU | L 74-91 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @FRES | L 63-93 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 17 | @UNM | L 61-98 | +28.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNLV | L 66-91 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
−11.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
−0.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
−15.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
−8.5
21
vsUNLV
UNLVL 66-91
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 20avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
+2.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
+27.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
+13.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
+10.5
21
vsUNLV
UNLVL 66-91
+3.5
over 16under 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San José St
6-20 overall · 2-14 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St69–84
- Wvs Nevada87–71
- Lvs Grand Canyon79–94
- L@ UNLV75–82
- L@ Colorado St57–65
3 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-24 overall · 0-16 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNLV66–91
- L@ New Mexico61–98
- L@ Fresno St63–93
- Lvs Colorado St74–91
- Lvs San Diego St54–88
3 days since their last game.