Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
CSU -16.5✓ CSU covered by 0.5
CSU -16.5✓ CSU covered by 0.5Closing total137.5Over by 27.5
| CSU | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 12-10 | Record | 3-20 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 7-16 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 12-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 74–59 AF · ✓ CSU (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 47 | 44 | 91 |
| AF | 39 | 35 | 74 |
1st half: CSU 47, AF 39 (CSU by 8). The model had CSU by 9.1 and a total of 62.0 (actual 86).
Team stats
| CSU | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-44 55% | Field goals | 26-47 55% |
| 14-26 54% | 3-pointers | 12-21 57% |
| 29-36 81% | Free throws | 10-22 45% |
| 26 3 off | Rebounds | 25 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 27 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Butler G | 30 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 26 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Carey Booth F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jevin Muniz G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Jojo McIver G | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 16 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Darnez Slater G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Charlie Dortch
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 31 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 6-11 | 5-9 |
| Kam Sanders G | 27 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 26 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 23 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Eli Robinson F | 21 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Walker F | 20 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Riley Dering F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Hinds G | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Brendan Martin F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chris Catchings, Sam Imade, Elliott Taite, Keaton Frisch, Kyle Marshall, Josh Gatete
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -14.5
2 → CSU
CloseCSU -16.5
2 pts toward CSU
Total
Open134.5
▲ 3
Close137.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CSU -1800 · AF +1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -14.5 · closed CSU -16.5 · moved 2 toward CSUmodel CSU -15
model CSU -15
Opened 134.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 3 upmodel 132.5
model 132.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSU -16.5 | CSU -15.1 | AF +1.4 | L CSU covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 132.3 | Under 5.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CSU 73.7 · AF 58.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CSU -9.1 | CSU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 62.0 | 86 |
| 1H projected score | CSU 35.6 · AF 26.5 | CSU 47 · AF 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| AF | 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CSU 8–1 AFCSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CSU has won the last 6 meetings · CSU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | AF 52 @ CSU 81 | CSU -19.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | CSU 77 @ AF 55 | AF +12.5 | CSU W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | AF 58 @ CSU 79 | CSU -15.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | CSU 82 @ AF 73 | AF +11.5 | AF W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | AF 69 @ CSU 78 | CSU -15.5 | AF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs NEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vs UNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vs UNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ FRES | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @ BOIS | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsAF | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsUSU | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | @ SDSU | L 50-73 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @ WYO | L 57-68 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs SJSU | W 65-57 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
−13.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
−0.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
+9.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
+1.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−13.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−9.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
+8.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
+11.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
−0.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
−23.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−16.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−17.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−16.5
over 10under 12avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
23 games played
Straight up
3-20
13% wins
Against the spread
7-16
30% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vsUSU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsFRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDSU | L 54-88 | +22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 16avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
+2.5
over 12under 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
12-10 overall · 4-8 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San José St65–57
- L@ Wyoming57–68
- L@ San Diego St50–73
- Lvs Utah State61–65
- Wvs Air Force81–52
3 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-20 overall · 0-12 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs San Diego St54–88
- L@ Grand Canyon57–81
- Lvs Fresno St62–79
- L@ Boise St54–96
- L@ Colorado St52–81
3 days since their last game.