Christl Arena · at Army · Conference game
Closing line
ARMY -4.5✓ L-MD covered by 12.5
Closing total146.5Over by 13.5
| This season | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 5-8 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 75–79 ARMY · ✗ ARMY (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 39 | 34 | 11 | 84 |
| ARMY | 40 | 33 | 3 | 76 |
1st half: L-MD 39, ARMY 40 (ARMY by 1). The model had ARMY by 2.3 and a total of 72.2 (actual 79).
Team stats
| L-MD | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-68 43% | Field goals | 28-72 39% |
| 10-31 32% | 3-pointers | 13-40 33% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 7-14 50% |
| 51 17 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 40 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Tyson Commander G | 34 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 24 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Jonas Sirtautas F | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Sam Springer F | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmett Adair F | 23 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 14 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Garrett Brennan, Ben Menker, Everett Barnes, Goap Kodi, Peter Sposito
| ARMY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Curry G | 43 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 7-17 | 5-11 |
| Jackson Furman G | 39 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 5-17 | 2-10 |
| Jacen Holloway F | 37 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Kevin McCarthy G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Tate Laczkowski F | 16 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joshua Eli F | 26 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Jaxson Bell G | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Jorn Everson F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Alex Engro G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Murans, Dillon Watt, Jackson Mayo, Brendon O'Keefe, Dayon Polk, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Chanse Perkins, Dylan Benner, Jahaan Green
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARMY -4.5
ModelARMY -4.0
Model edgeL-MD +0.5
W L-MD covered
Total
Market146.5
Model154.1
Model edgeOver 7.6
W Over
Projected score
L-MD 75.1 · ARMY 79.1
L-MD 84 · ARMY 76
Win probability
ARMY 64%
1st half
Spread
ARMY -2.3
ARMY -1.0
Total
72.2
79 points
Projected score
L-MD 35 · ARMY 37.2
L-MD 39 · ARMY 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARMY -3.5
1 → ARMY
CloseARMY -4.5
1 pt toward ARMY
Total
Open150.5
▼ 4
Close146.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +160 · ARMY -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARMY -3.5 · closed ARMY -4.5 · moved 1 toward ARMYmodel ARMY -4
model ARMY -4
Opened 150.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | |
| 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
L-MD 3–5 ARMYARMY leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ARMY has won the last 2 meetings · L-MD 4-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | ARMY 64 @ L-MD 60 | L-MD -1.5 | ARMY W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | L-MD 72 @ ARMY 74 | ARMY -3.5 | L-MD W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | ARMY 68 @ L-MD 69 | L-MD +1.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | L-MD 71 @ ARMY 65 | ARMY -4.5 | L-MD W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | L-MD 70 @ ARMY 76 | ARMY -7.5 | L-MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TOW
L 56-67
−2.5
11
vs
NJIT
L 64-66
−12.5
15
vs
STO
W 74-63
+4.5
16
@
FAIR
L 82-85
+2.5
19
@
DUQ
L 78-92
+0.5
21
@
UK
L 46-88
−6.5
30
vs
COPP
W 95-84
+1.5
3
@
HAMP
L 71-93
−15.5
9
@
VMI
L 70-86
−18.5
13
vs
MSM
L 73-81
−5.5
21
@
GMU
L 79-86
+16.5
31
@
AMER
L 69-84
−6.5
3
vs
LAF
L 64-79
−13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
TOW
L 56-67
−18.5
11
vs
NJIT
L 64-66
−9.5
15
vs
STO
W 74-63
−1.5
16
@
FAIR
L 82-85
+31.5
19
@
DUQ
L 78-92
+19.5
21
@
UK
L 46-88
−25.5
30
vs
COPP
W 95-84
+35.5
3
@
HAMP
L 71-93
+21.5
9
@
VMI
L 70-86
+4.5
13
vs
MSM
L 73-81
+2.5
21
@
GMU
L 79-86
+18.5
31
@
AMER
L 69-84
−1.5
3
vs
LAF
L 64-79
−9.5
over 7under 6avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Army
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 76-83 | +18.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 59-114 | +33.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 52-75 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 67-84 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 81-78 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 70-84 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 12 | @ | W 63-60 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 23 | vs | W 95-85 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 85-78 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 69-76 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
STMN
L 76-83
+11.5
11
vs
DUKE
L 59-114
−21.5
15
vs
HARV
L 52-75
−16.5
18
@
COR
L 73-86
+4.5
21
@
MRST
L 65-76
+1.5
25
vs
ETAM
L 67-84
−14.5
26
@
FDU
W 81-73
+12.5
29
vs
MAN
W 81-78
+4.5
2
vs
GW
L 70-84
+5.5
12
@
UMBC
W 63-60
+10.5
23
vs
BING
W 95-85
−2.5
31
@
LEH
W 85-78
+12.5
3
vs
COLG
L 69-76
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
STMN
L 76-83
+7.5
11
vs
DUKE
L 59-114
+20.5
15
vs
HARV
L 52-75
−19.5
18
@
COR
L 73-86
−5.5
21
@
MRST
L 65-76
+8.5
25
vs
ETAM
L 67-84
+7.5
26
@
FDU
W 81-73
+1.5
29
vs
MAN
W 81-78
+6.5
2
vs
GW
L 70-84
−2.5
12
@
UMBC
W 63-60
−23.5
23
vs
BING
W 95-85
+39.5
31
@
LEH
W 85-78
+16.5
3
vs
COLG
L 69-76
−2.5
over 8under 5avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
2-11 overall · 0-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lafayette64–79
- L@ American69–84
- L@ George Mason79–86
- Lvs Mount St Marys73–81
- L@ VMI70–86
4 days since their last game.
Army
5-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colgate69–76
- W@ Lehigh85–78
- Wvs Binghamton95–85
- W@ UMBC63–60
- Lvs G Washington70–84
4 days since their last game.