Nutter Center · at Wright St · Conference game
Closing line
WRST -1.5✓ WRST covered by 6.5
WRST -1.5✓ WRST covered by 6.5Closing total155.5Over by 12.5
 NKU | This season | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 10-8 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 75–78 WRST · ✓ WRST (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 36 | 44 | 80 |
| WRST | 48 | 40 | 88 |
1st half: NKU 36, WRST 48 (WRST by 12). The model had WRST by 1.7 and a total of 71.8 (actual 84).
Team stats
| NKU | WRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 5-14 36% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 29-36 81% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 7 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 39 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 12-17 | 4-8 |
| LJ Wells F | 32 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Tae Dozier G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Kael Robinson F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Addison Archer, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang, Mitchel Minor
| WRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Pickett F | 32 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| TJ Burch G | 31 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-1 |
| Solomon Callaghan G | 30 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dominic Pangonis G | 30 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Michael Imariagbe F | 29 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Cooper G | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Sam Alamutu G | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Logan Woods G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Andrea Holden G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Bruskotter, Ayden Davis, PJ Douglas, Isaiah Williams, Bryan Etumnu
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWRST -1.5
ModelWRST -3.1
Model edgeWRST +1.6
W WRST covered
Total
Market155.5
Model153.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
L Over
Projected score
NKU 75.1 · WRST 78.2
NKU 80 · WRST 88
Win probability
WRST 61%
1st half
Spread
WRST -1.7
WRST -12.0
Total
71.8
84 points
Projected score
NKU 35 · WRST 36.7
NKU 36 · WRST 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWRST -3.5
2 → NKU
CloseWRST -1.5
2 pts toward NKU
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NKU +110 · WRST -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WRST -3.5 · closed WRST -1.5 · moved 2 toward NKUmodel WRST -3
model WRST -3
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| WRST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NKU 5–5 WRSTSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · NKU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | NKU 80 @ WRST 76 | WRST -3.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | WRST 78 @ NKU 70 | NKU -1.5 | WRST W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | NKU 99 @ WRST 97 | WRST -7.5 | NKU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | NKU 88 @ WRST 94 | WRST -6.5 | NKU W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | WRST 85 @ NKU 78 | NKU +3.5 | WRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs YSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs DETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
over 12under 6avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wright St
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ CAL | L 67-77 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | vs TOL | L 71-81 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs RAD | W 92-59 | +6.5 | W +39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs KENT | L 72-76 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | @ STET | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | @ BTLR | L 69-94 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @YSU | L 68-69 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vsGB | W 86-58 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ MRSH | L 74-76 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | vs M-OH | L 76-83 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 22 | vs EMU | W 70-64 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 29 | vsOAK | W 88-73 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vsMILW | W 76-70 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 4 | @IUIN | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 9 | @DETM | W 84-82 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 11 | @OAK | W 94-84 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vsYSU | W 93-83 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vsCLE | L 79-85 | -15.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
+4.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 71-81
−15.5
15
vsRAD
RADW 92-59
+39.5
16
vsKENT
KENTL 72-76
+0.5
25
@STET
STETW 79-62
+7.5
28
@BTLR
BTLRL 69-94
−10.5
3
@YSU
YSUL 68-69
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 86-58
+21.5
13
@MRSH
MRSHL 74-76
+1.5
16
vsM-OH
M-OHL 76-83
−5.5
22
vsEMU
EMUW 70-64
−4.5
29
vsOAK
OAKW 88-73
+11.5
1
vsMILW
MILWW 76-70
+2.5
4
@IUIN
IUINW 81-77
−4.5
9
@DETM
DETMW 84-82
−3.5
11
@OAK
OAKW 94-84
+14.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 93-83
+5.5
21
vsCLE
CLEL 79-85
−21.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
−4.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 71-81
−7.5
15
vsRAD
RADW 92-59
−5.5
16
vsKENT
KENTL 72-76
−9.5
25
@STET
STETW 79-62
−6.5
28
@BTLR
BTLRL 69-94
+12.5
3
@YSU
YSUL 68-69
−7.5
7
vsGB
GBW 86-58
+1.5
13
@MRSH
MRSHL 74-76
+0.5
16
vsM-OH
M-OHL 76-83
+9.5
22
vsEMU
EMUW 70-64
−8.5
29
vsOAK
OAKW 88-73
+1.5
1
vsMILW
MILWW 76-70
−1.5
4
@IUIN
IUINW 81-77
−4.5
9
@DETM
DETMW 84-82
+17.5
11
@OAK
OAKW 94-84
+16.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 93-83
+34.5
21
vsCLE
CLEL 79-85
+7.5
over 9under 9avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
11-7 overall · 6-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Robert Morris89–92
- Wvs Detroit Mercy96–71
- L@ Green Bay78–80
- W@ Milwaukee85–67
- Wvs Youngstown St94–79
A week or more of rest.
Wright St
10-8 overall · 7-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Cleveland St79–85
- Wvs Youngstown St93–83
- W@ Oakland94–84
- W@ Detroit Mercy84–82
- W@ IU Indy81–77
3 days since their last game.