University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -12.5✓ WMU covered by 10.5
M-OH -12.5✓ WMU covered by 10.5Closing total161.5Under by 25.5
| M-OH | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 25-0 | Record | 9-17 |
| 18-7 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 17-8 | O/U | 16-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 86–76 WMU · ✓ M-OH (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| WMU | 30 | 37 | 67 |
1st half: M-OH 26, WMU 30 (WMU by 4). The model had M-OH by 5.8 and a total of 75.8 (actual 56).
Team stats
| M-OH | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-52 48% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 4-13 31% |
| 15-25 60% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 28 4 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer G | 34 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Trey Perry G | 30 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 30 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Peter Suder G | 27 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Brant Byers F | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Kirby G | 28 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Almar Atlason F | 27 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Robbins, Luke Skaljac, Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Jackson Kotecki, Eli Yofan, Ethan Wright, Evan Ipsaro, Blake Anderson
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brewer G | 37 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 6-16 | 2-3 |
| EJ Ryans G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-1 |
| Justice Williams G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Trey Lewis G | 26 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Max Burton F | 25 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Vis G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-4 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 13 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Junior Sileu F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camden Thompson, Declan Peterson, Brady Swartz, Nicholas Errica, Hudson Ward
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -12.5
ModelM-OH -9.6
Model edgeWMU +2.9
W WMU covered
Total
Market161.5
Model162.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
L Under
Projected score
M-OH 85.9 · WMU 76.3
M-OH 69 · WMU 67
Win probability
M-OH 80%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -5.8
WMU -4.0
Total
75.8
56 points
Projected score
M-OH 40.8 · WMU 35
M-OH 26 · WMU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -12.5
no move
CloseM-OH -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open164.5
▼ 3
Close161.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -950 · WMU +625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -12.5 · unchangedmodel M-OH -9.5
model M-OH -9.5
Opened 164.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 downmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| WMU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
M-OH 6–3 WMUM-OH leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · M-OH 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | WMU 76 @ M-OH 87 | M-OH -14.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | M-OH 70 @ WMU 78 | WMU +6.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | WMU 71 @ M-OH 91 | M-OH -9.5 | M-OH W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | M-OH 58 @ WMU 77 | WMU +3.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | WMU 83 @ M-OH 74 | M-OH -4.5 | WMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
25 games played
Straight up
25-0
100% wins
Against the spread
18-7
72% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-8
68% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsWMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @ TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @ KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vs MASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vs NIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | @BUF | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ MRSH | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 13 | vs OHIO | W 90-74 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | @MASS | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 20 | vsBGSU | W 91-77 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @ EMU | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−2.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+14.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+8.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
+5.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+5.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
+1.5
covered 18didn’t cover 7avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−21.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+0.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
−0.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+13.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
−13.5
over 17under 8avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-10
62% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vsBUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsEMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsMASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vsBGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vsCMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | @NIU | L 65-85 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @OHIO | L 71-91 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ TXST | L 61-77 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTOL | L 79-90 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @EMU | W 76-62 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 17 | vsAKR | L 73-90 | +14.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | @CMU | L 70-83 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | @BGSU | W 88-79 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
−18.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
−9.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−9.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
−4.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
+20.5
17
vsAKR
AKRL 73-90
−2.5
21
@CMU
CMUL 70-83
−9.5
24
@BGSU
BGSUW 88-79
+20.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
+3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
+6.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−8.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
+14.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
−5.5
17
vsAKR
AKRL 73-90
+2.5
21
@CMU
CMUL 70-83
+2.5
24
@BGSU
BGSUW 88-79
+17.5
over 16under 10avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
25-0 overall · 15-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Michigan74–64
- Wvs Bowling Green91–77
- W@ UMass86–77
- Wvs Ohio90–74
- W@ Marshall90–74
3 days since their last game.
W Michigan
9-17 overall · 4-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bowling Green88–79
- L@ C Michigan70–83
- Lvs Akron73–90
- W@ E Michigan76–62
- Lvs Toledo79–90
3 days since their last game.