MVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -6.5✓ SIE covered by 1.5
SIE -6.5✓ SIE covered by 1.5Closing total142.5Over by 19.5
 FAIR | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 12-7 |
| 7-11 | ATS | 11-8 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 6-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 69–76 SIE · ✓ SIE (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| SIE | 41 | 44 | 85 |
1st half: FAIR 32, SIE 41 (SIE by 9). The model had SIE by 4.0 and a total of 67.7 (actual 73).
Team stats
| FAIR | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 31-46 67% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 7-14 50% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 20 8 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 12 | Assists | 20 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin F | 37 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 10-11 | 0-1 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Tony Williams G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Braden Sparks G | 22 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mejia G | 26 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Deuce Turner G | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Ryan Zan F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Estevez G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats G | 39 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 8-12 | 1-2 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 36 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Gavin Doty G | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 9-9 | 2-2 |
| Francis Folefac F | 26 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Mulvey C | 26 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Cooper Nadler, Isaiah Henderson, Owen Schlager, Danny Murray, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -6.5
no move
CloseSIE -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▼ 1
Close142.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +215 · SIE -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -6.5 · unchangedmodel SIE -7
model SIE -7
Opened 143.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SIE -6.5 | SIE -6.9 | SIE +0.4 | W SIE covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 144.4 | Over 1.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | FAIR 68.7 · SIE 75.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SIE -4.0 | SIE -9.0 |
| 1H total | 67.7 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | FAIR 31.8 · SIE 35.8 | FAIR 32 · SIE 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| SIE | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
FAIR 3–4 SIESIE leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FAIR 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | FAIR 64 @ SIE 68 | SIE -7.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | SIE 64 @ FAIR 88 | FAIR -17.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | FAIR 93 @ SIE 69 | SIE +3.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | FAIR 62 @ SIE 52 | SIE -4.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 1, 2022-23 | SIE 70 @ FAIR 61 | FAIR -0.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vs SPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vs RID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
over 10under 8avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vsNIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vsCAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsMRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
over 6under 13avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
10-8 overall · 3-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marist67–82
- Wvs Manhattan98–62
- Wvs Rider68–62
- W@ Niagara83–75
- L@ Canisius81–85
2 days since their last game.
Siena
12-7 overall · 5-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Manhattan74–59
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–86
- W@ Mount St Marys67–50
- Lvs Merrimack59–63
- W@ Rider74–65
2 days since their last game.