Kennedy Family Athletic Complex · at UMass Lowell · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -2.5✓ UMBC covered by 21.5
UMBC -2.5✓ UMBC covered by 21.5Closing total150.5Under by 6.5
| UMBC | This season | UML |
|---|---|---|
| 17-8 | Record | 10-16 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 11-14 | O/U | 12-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 76–74 UML · ✓ UMBC (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 37 | 47 | 84 |
| UML | 33 | 27 | 60 |
1st half: UMBC 37, UML 33 (UMBC by 4). The model had UMBC by 1.1 and a total of 70.4 (actual 70).
Team stats
| UMBC | UML | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-58 60% | Field goals | 24-67 36% |
| 3-11 27% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 7-11 64% |
| 37 5 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 31 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 9-13 | 1-2 |
| Ace Valentine G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 27 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jake Stout F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Saahil Thakkar G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrel Yepdo G | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 36 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-16 | 0-5 |
| Xavier Spencer G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 31 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-1 |
| Victor Okojie F | 25 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JJ Massaquoi F | 24 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 7-15 | 0-2 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Austin Green, Isaiah Walter, Kris Johnson, Keenan Bey, Jerrell Roberson II, Jared Frey
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -1.5
1 → UMBC
CloseUMBC -2.5
1 pt toward UMBC
Total
Open147.5
▲ 3
Close150.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -142 · UML +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -1.5 · closed UMBC -2.5 · moved 1 toward UMBCmodel UMBC -1.5
model UMBC -1.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 3 upmodel 150.5 matches the line
model 150.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -2.5 | UMBC -1.7 | UML +0.8 | L UMBC covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 150.5 | — | Under |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 76.1 · UML 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -1.1 | UMBC -4.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 35.8 · UML 34.6 | UMBC 37 · UML 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| UML | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UMBC 2–9 UMLUML leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · UMBC 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | UML 56 @ UMBC 79 | UMBC -2.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UMBC 79 @ UML 98 | UML -5.5 | UML W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UML 83 @ UMBC 67 | UMBC +2.5 | UML W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UMBC 89 @ UML 94 | UML -7.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | UML 93 @ UMBC 80 | UMBC +7.5 | UML W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vs NJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsUML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @ UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
over 11under 14avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass Lowell
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ CONN | L 47-110 | +36.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs NHVN | L 67-73 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 13 | @ COLU | L 72-86 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | @ WAKE | L 75-109 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 19 | @ BRAD | L 77-87 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | @ SPU | L 66-68 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | @ STO | W 75-64 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ MASS | L 60-80 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ QUIN | L 71-75 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs SHU | W 87-82 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ BU | L 76-88 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ IOWA | L 62-90 | +33.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vsUALB | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 8 | @BRY | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @BING | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 15 | vsNJIT | L 64-73 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 22 | vsUVM | L 68-77 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @UMBC | L 56-79 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @UNH | L 61-66 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 31 | vsME | W 91-77 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 5 | @NJIT | L 56-81 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | @UALB | W 89-79 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsBRY | W 88-69 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNH | W 78-56 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | vsBING | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 26 | @UVM | L 64-66 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
+13.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−8.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
+8.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+7.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
−6.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+5.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+9.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
+16.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−1.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−17.5
22
vsUVM
UVML 68-77
−4.5
24
@UMBC
UMBCL 56-79
−20.5
29
@UNH
UNHL 61-66
−1.5
31
vsME
MEW 91-77
+9.5
5
@NJIT
NJITL 56-81
−23.5
7
@UALB
UALBW 89-79
+14.5
12
vsBRY
BRYW 88-69
+14.5
19
vsUNH
UNHW 78-56
+18.5
21
vsBING
BINGW 92-79
+3.5
26
@UVM
UVML 64-66
+7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
−9.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−15.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
−7.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+17.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
+18.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+6.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+3.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
−3.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−5.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−8.5
22
vsUVM
UVML 68-77
−0.5
24
@UMBC
UMBCL 56-79
−16.5
29
@UNH
UNHL 61-66
−19.5
31
vsME
MEW 91-77
+31.5
5
@NJIT
NJITL 56-81
−12.5
7
@UALB
UALBW 89-79
+24.5
12
vsBRY
BRYW 88-69
+15.5
19
vsUNH
UNHW 78-56
−17.5
21
vsBING
BINGW 92-79
+24.5
26
@UVM
UVML 64-66
−16.5
over 12under 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
17-8 overall · 12-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant70–58
- Wvs UAlbany66–62
- Wvs Vermont75–62
- W@ New Hampshire85–63
- W@ Maine78–62
2 days since their last game.
UMass Lowell
10-16 overall · 8-6 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vermont64–66
- Wvs Binghamton92–79
- Wvs New Hampshire78–56
- Wvs Bryant88–69
- W@ UAlbany89–79
2 days since their last game.