Lundholm Gymnasium · at New Hampshire · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -2.5✓ UMBC covered by 19.5
UMBC -2.5✓ UMBC covered by 19.5Closing total146.5Over by 1.5
| UMBC | This season | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| 13-8 | Record | 6-15 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 75–71 UNH · ✓ UMBC (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 47 | 38 | 85 |
| UNH | 28 | 35 | 63 |
1st half: UMBC 47, UNH 28 (UMBC by 19). The model had UMBC by 2.3 and a total of 68.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| UMBC | UNH | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-58 52% | Field goals | 21-55 38% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 27 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Ace Valentine G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 27 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 25 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 21 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cougar Downing G | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Caden Diggs F | 21 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Paul Greene F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jake Stout F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bike G | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jack Graham G | 26 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 24 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| John Squire F | 21 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Davide Poser F | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Comeh Emuobor F | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 26 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-9 | 0-4 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 25 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Blackley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Sanford, Jon O'Neill, Antoni Siewruk, Dylan Saunders
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -1.5
1 → UMBC
CloseUMBC -2.5
1 pt toward UMBC
Total
Open139.5
▲ 7
Close146.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -148 · UNH +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -1.5 · closed UMBC -2.5 · moved 1 toward UMBCmodel UMBC -3.5
model UMBC -3.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 7 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -2.5 | UMBC -3.6 | UMBC +1.1 | W UMBC covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 146.0 | Under 0.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 74.8 · UNH 71.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -2.3 | UMBC -19.0 |
| 1H total | 68.3 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 35.3 · UNH 33 | UMBC 47 · UNH 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| UNH | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UMBC 4–5 UNHUNH leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UMBC 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | UNH 74 @ UMBC 75 | UMBC -6.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | UMBC 78 @ UNH 79 | UNH +8.5 | UNH W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UNH 79 @ UMBC 76 | UMBC -13.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UMBC 86 @ UNH 68 | UNH -6.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UNH 64 @ UMBC 58 | UMBC +3.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vs NJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs UML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @ UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
over 10under 11avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Hampshire
21 games played
Straight up
6-15
29% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLEM | L 38-88 | +29.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 9 | @ HARV | L 75-86 | +15.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | @ GMU | L 44-61 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | @ PROV | L 66-98 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRWN | L 47-59 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAIR | L 68-72 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 3 | @ DART | L 68-69 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs BU | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | vs STO | W 59-58 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 21 | @ SLU | L 79-93 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | @ NEB | L 55-86 | +31.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | vsUVM | L 61-80 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | @NJIT | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @UMBC | L 74-75 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @ME | W 65-48 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 22 | vsBING | W 88-82 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vsUALB | W 80-72 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsUML | W 66-61 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 31 | @BRY | L 84-92 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 7 | @UVM | L 57-80 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 12 | vsNJIT | L 70-76 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
−2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−6.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
+5.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
+7.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+11.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−2.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+20.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
+0.5
3
vsUVM
UVML 61-80
−11.5
8
@NJIT
NJITL 76-80
−6.5
10
@UMBC
UMBCL 74-75
+5.5
19
@ME
MEW 65-48
+18.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 88-82
−3.5
24
vsUALB
UALBW 80-72
+5.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 66-61
+1.5
31
@BRY
BRYL 84-92
−6.5
7
@UVM
UVML 57-80
−13.5
12
vsNJIT
NJITL 70-76
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
+2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−30.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
−7.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
−10.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+35.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−21.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+14.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
−5.5
3
vsUVM
UVML 61-80
+1.5
8
@NJIT
NJITL 76-80
+18.5
10
@UMBC
UMBCL 74-75
+5.5
19
@ME
MEW 65-48
−16.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 88-82
+34.5
24
vsUALB
UALBW 80-72
+14.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 66-61
−19.5
31
@BRY
BRYL 84-92
+44.5
7
@UVM
UVML 57-80
−1.5
12
vsNJIT
NJITL 70-76
+0.5
over 11under 10avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
13-8 overall · 8-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Maine78–62
- Wvs Binghamton79–62
- W@ UAlbany68–65
- L@ Vermont55–64
- Wvs UMass Lowell79–56
2 days since their last game.
New Hampshire
6-15 overall · 4-6 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NJIT70–76
- L@ Vermont57–80
- L@ Bryant84–92
- Wvs UMass Lowell66–61
- Wvs UAlbany80–72
2 days since their last game.