Pete Hanna Center · at Samford · Conference game
Closing line
SAM -17.5✓ SAM covered by 1.5
SAM -17.5✓ SAM covered by 1.5Closing total155.5Under by 14.5
 VMI | This season | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| 3-23 | Record | 14-13 |
| 8-18 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 17-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VMI 69–85 SAM · ✓ SAM (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 36 | 25 | 61 |
| SAM | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: VMI 36, SAM 36 (tied). The model had SAM by 9.5 and a total of 71.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| VMI | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 7-31 23% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 39 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-9 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 36 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 31 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Cal Liston F | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Walker Andrews G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Kaden Stuckey F | 27 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Lawson, Alexander Daushvili, Jaylen Pazon, Branford Edmonds III, Mason Hagedorn, Robert Peters, AJ Clark, Rickey Bradley Jr.
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 37 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Cade Norris G | 37 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Keaton Norris G | 35 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 29 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Wilburn G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Kam Martin G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Will Shaver C | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaxon Pollard F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Davenport, JD Gossett, Judson Bjornstad, DaJion Humphrey, Caleb Harrison, Corey Brown, Zach Lamey, Joshua Hughes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAM -17.5
ModelSAM -16.2
Model edgeVMI +1.3
L SAM covered
Total
Market155.5
Model153.2
Model edgeUnder 2.3
W Under
Projected score
VMI 68.5 · SAM 84.7
VMI 61 · SAM 80
Win probability
SAM 92%
1st half
Spread
SAM -9.5
tied
Total
71.7
72 points
Projected score
VMI 31.1 · SAM 40.6
VMI 36 · SAM 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAM -17.5
no move
CloseSAM -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VMI +1100 · SAM -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAM -17.5 · unchangedmodel SAM -16
model SAM -16
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 0-10 0% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| SAM | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
VMI 1–8 SAMSAM leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SAM has won the last 8 meetings · VMI 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | SAM 78 @ VMI 58 | VMI +6.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | SAM 95 @ VMI 83 | VMI +11.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | VMI 68 @ SAM 81 | SAM -18.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | SAM 102 @ VMI 63 | VMI +19.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | VMI 96 @ SAM 134 | SAM -23.5 | SAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VMI
26 games played
Straight up
3-23
12% wins
Against the spread
8-18
31% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ RAD | L 90-97 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 1 | vsSAM | L 58-78 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | vs UTC | W 79-71 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ ETSU | L 67-81 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ FUR | L 48-69 | +12.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vs MER | L 67-77 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs CIT | L 68-82 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNCG | L 78-85 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 24 | @ WCU | L 58-88 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 29 | @CIT | L 56-80 | +2.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | @MER | L 81-95 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 4 | vs WOF | L 67-81 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vsETSU | L 70-87 | +14.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 11 | @UNCG | L 71-92 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | vsFUR | L 72-90 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | @WOF | L 76-82 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsWCU | L 62-81 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+4.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−13.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+14.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+2.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−1.5
17
vsCIT
CITL 68-82
−20.5
21
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-85
−4.5
24
@WCU
WCUL 58-88
−21.5
29
@CIT
CITL 56-80
−21.5
31
@MER
MERL 81-95
+4.5
4
vsWOF
WOFL 67-81
−5.5
7
vsETSU
ETSUL 70-87
−2.5
11
@UNCG
UNCGL 71-92
−12.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 72-90
−6.5
18
@WOF
WOFL 76-82
+7.5
21
vsWCU
WCUL 62-81
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 18avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+28.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−18.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+0.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+1.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−32.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−9.5
17
vsCIT
CITL 68-82
+6.5
21
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-85
+11.5
24
@WCU
WCUL 58-88
−6.5
29
@CIT
CITL 56-80
−6.5
31
@MER
MERL 81-95
+22.5
4
vsWOF
WOFL 67-81
−1.5
7
vsETSU
ETSUL 70-87
+13.5
11
@UNCG
UNCGL 71-92
+12.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 72-90
+13.5
18
@WOF
WOFL 76-82
−0.5
21
vsWCU
WCUL 62-81
−11.5
over 12under 14avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Samford
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vsWCU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UTC | L 79-88 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vsFUR | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vsETSU | L 75-76 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @WOF | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTC | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @FUR | L 73-78 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | @WCU | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 5 | vsCIT | W 78-64 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | vsMER | W 69-49 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsWOF | W 97-80 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 14 | @ETSU | W 82-72 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 19 | @CIT | W 78-75 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 21 | @MER | L 86-89 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+0.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
−7.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
−2.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
−6.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
+6.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+0.5
1
@WCU
WCUW 88-74
+12.5
5
vsCIT
CITW 78-64
+0.5
7
vsMER
MERW 69-49
+21.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 97-80
+10.5
14
@ETSU
ETSUW 82-72
+17.5
19
@CIT
CITW 78-75
−7.5
21
@MER
MERL 86-89
+0.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+5.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
+18.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
+0.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
+11.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
−13.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+1.5
1
@WCU
WCUW 88-74
+7.5
5
vsCIT
CITW 78-64
−4.5
7
vsMER
MERW 69-49
−42.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 97-80
+26.5
14
@ETSU
ETSUW 82-72
+8.5
19
@CIT
CITW 78-75
+9.5
21
@MER
MERL 86-89
+18.5
over 17under 10avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VMI
3-23 overall · 1-15 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs W Carolina62–81
- L@ Wofford76–82
- Lvs Furman72–90
- L@ UNC Greensboro71–92
- Lvs ETSU70–87
5 days since their last game.
Samford
14-13 overall · 9-7 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercer86–89
- W@ The Citadel78–75
- W@ ETSU82–72
- Wvs Wofford97–80
- Wvs Mercer69–49
5 days since their last game.