Reed Arena · at Texas A&M · Conference game
Closing line
TA&M -9.5✓ MISS covered by 6.5
TA&M -9.5✓ MISS covered by 6.5Closing total157.5Under by 0.5
 MISS | This season | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| 11-14 | Record | 17-8 |
| 8-17 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 15-10 | O/U | 15-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 74–83 TA&M · ✓ TA&M (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| TA&M | 33 | 47 | 80 |
1st half: MISS 38, TA&M 33 (MISS by 5). The model had TA&M by 5.3 and a total of 73.7 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MISS | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 30-62 48% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 23 4 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 40 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Malik Dia F | 25 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 10-14 | 0-1 |
| Travis Perry G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| James Scott F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Koren Johnson G | 29 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eduardo Klafke, Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan, Corey Chest, Kezza Giffa
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaun Agee F | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Hill G | 28 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 24 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Rylan Griffen G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Jacari Lane G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zach Clemence F | 24 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Ali Dibba G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Josh Holloway G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Pop Isaacs G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Federiko Federiko F | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mackenzie Mgbako, Noah Shelby, Chris McDermott, Jeremiah Green, Jamie Vinson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTA&M -9.5
ModelTA&M -9.0
Model edgeMISS +0.5
W MISS covered
Total
Market157.5
Model157.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
L Under
Projected score
MISS 74.3 · TA&M 83.3
MISS 77 · TA&M 80
Win probability
TA&M 79%
1st half
Spread
TA&M -5.3
MISS -5.0
Total
73.7
71 points
Projected score
MISS 34.2 · TA&M 39.5
MISS 38 · TA&M 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTA&M -9.5
no move
CloseTA&M -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +410 · TA&M -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TA&M -9.5 · unchangedmodel TA&M -9
model TA&M -9
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 157.5 matches the line
model 157.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| TA&M | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MISS 1–6 TA&MTA&M leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TA&M has won the last 3 meetings · MISS 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | TA&M 63 @ MISS 62 | MISS -3.5 | TA&M W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | MISS 71 vs TA&M 80 | TA&M -4.5 | TA&M W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | TA&M 86 @ MISS 60 | MISS -1.5 | TA&M W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | MISS 71 @ TA&M 68 | TA&M -7.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 28, 2022-23 | TA&M 69 @ MISS 61 | MISS +5.5 | TA&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
8-17
32% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vs ALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 17avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
over 15under 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas A&M
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PITT | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMU | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs JAX | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs ETAM | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vs PV | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vs LSU | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @AUB | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsOU | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @TENN | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | @TEX | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vsMSST | W 88-68 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs SC | W 92-69 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @UGA | W 92-77 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 4 | @ALA | L 97-100 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vs FLA | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | vsMIZ | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | @VAN | L 69-82 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
−14.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+10.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+12.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
−0.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+8.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
+2.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+6.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
+11.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+12.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
+19.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+5.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−13.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
−8.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−5.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
+8.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+39.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+28.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
+15.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−21.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+9.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
−6.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+9.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
−22.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+5.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
−4.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+16.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−14.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
+10.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−14.5
over 15under 10avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
11-14 overall · 3-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Mississippi St78–90
- Lvs Alabama74–93
- L@ Texas68–79
- L@ Tennessee66–84
- L@ Vanderbilt68–71
4 days since their last game.
Texas A&M
17-8 overall · 7-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vanderbilt69–82
- Lvs Missouri85–86
- Lvs Florida67–86
- L@ Alabama97–100
- W@ Georgia92–77
4 days since their last game.