Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -3.5✓ VAN covered by 11.5
AUB -3.5✓ VAN covered by 11.5Closing total161.5Under by 1.5
 VAN | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 19-4 | Record | 14-9 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 12-11 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 82–85 AUB · ✗ AUB (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| AUB | 31 | 45 | 76 |
1st half: VAN 42, AUB 31 (VAN by 11). The model had AUB by 1.5 and a total of 78.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| VAN | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 24-60 40% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 26-30 87% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 36 18 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 2 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 39 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 6-16 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 33 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Jalen Washington F | 28 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 7-8 | 2-2 |
| AK Okereke F | 25 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 23 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Mike James G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frankie Collins, Miles Keeffe, George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Duke Miles, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 37 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 36 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 7-18 | 1-6 |
| Kevin Overton G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 26 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3-13 | 3-5 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 24 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 28 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Filip Jovic C | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Simon Walker G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Reed Trapp, Blake Muschalek, Kaden Magwood, CJ Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -3.5
ModelAUB -2.7
Model edgeVAN +0.8
W VAN covered
Total
Market161.5
Model167.1
Model edgeOver 5.6
L Under
Projected score
VAN 82.2 · AUB 84.9
VAN 84 · AUB 76
Win probability
AUB 59%
1st half
Spread
AUB -1.5
VAN -11.0
Total
78.1
73 points
Projected score
VAN 38.3 · AUB 39.8
VAN 42 · AUB 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -2.5
1 → AUB
CloseAUB -3.5
1 pt toward AUB
Total
Open163.5
▼ 2
Close161.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
VAN +150 · AUB -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -2.5 · closed AUB -3.5 · moved 1 toward AUBmodel AUB -2.5
model AUB -2.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 2 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| AUB | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VAN 1–4 AUBAUB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 3 meetings · VAN 1-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | AUB 80 @ VAN 68 | VAN +8.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | VAN 54 @ AUB 81 | AUB -18.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | AUB 80 @ VAN 65 | VAN +11.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | AUB 65 @ VAN 67 | VAN +2.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 16, 2021-22 | VAN 80 @ AUB 94 | AUB -14 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
23 games played
Straight up
19-4
83% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs UK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs MISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs OU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
over 11under 12avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vsSC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vsTEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vsALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
over 14under 9avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
19-4 overall · 6-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma91–92
- Wvs Ole Miss71–68
- Wvs Kentucky80–55
- W@ Mississippi St88–56
- L@ Arkansas68–93
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
14-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Alabama92–96
- L@ Tennessee69–77
- Wvs Texas88–82
- W@ Florida76–67
- W@ Ole Miss78–66
3 days since their last game.