Lloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -7.5✓ FLA covered by 9.5
FLA -7.5✓ FLA covered by 9.5Closing total157.5Over by 17.5
| FLA | This season | OU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | Record | 11-5 |
| 6-10 | ATS | 5-11 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FLA 85–75 OU · ✓ FLA (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 46 | 50 | 96 |
| OU | 24 | 55 | 79 |
1st half: FLA 46, OU 24 (FLA by 22). The model had FLA by 6.4 and a total of 74.6 (actual 70).
Team stats
| FLA | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-71 54% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 10-16 63% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 43 17 off | Rebounds | 31 11 off |
| 20 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 60 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 35 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 8-13 | 3-5 |
| Boogie Fland G | 33 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 7-16 | 1-5 |
| Alex Condon F | 33 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 27 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 27 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 11 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ingram G | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Viktor Mikic, Alex Kovatchev, Olivier Rioux, AJ Brown, Cooper Josefsberg
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 37 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 3-5 |
| Tae Davis F | 35 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 7-15 | 0-0 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 25 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Nijel Pack G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Derrion Reid F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 18 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Dayton Forsythe G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Jadon Jones G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kai Rogers F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kuol Atak F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reid Lovelace, Andreas Holst, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe, Alec Blair
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -4.5
3 → FLA
CloseFLA -7.5
3 pts toward FLA
Total
Open153.5
▲ 4
Close157.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
FLA -325 · OU +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -4.5 · closed FLA -7.5 · moved 3 toward FLAmodel FLA -10.5
model FLA -10.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 4 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -7.5 | FLA -10.5 | FLA +3.0 | W FLA covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 159.4 | Over 1.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | FLA 84.9 · OU 74.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -6.4 | FLA -22.0 |
| 1H total | 74.6 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | FLA 40.5 · OU 34.1 | FLA 46 · OU 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| OU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FLA 1–2 OUOU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · FLA 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | OU 63 @ FLA 85 | FLA -14.5 | FLA W |
| Dec 20, 2022-23 | FLA 53 vs OU 62 | OU +2.5 | OU W |
| Dec 1, 2021-22 | FLA 67 @ OU 74 | OU +1 | OU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @ MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
over 6under 10avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsSFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs MISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
over 6under 10avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida
11-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee91–67
- Wvs Georgia92–77
- L@ Missouri74–76
- Wvs Dartmouth94–72
- Wvs Colgate90–60
3 days since their last game.
Oklahoma
11-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas A&M76–83
- L@ Mississippi St53–72
- Wvs Ole Miss86–70
- Wvs Miss Valley St93–69
- Wvs Stetson107–54
3 days since their last game.