Groniger Arena · at E Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
LR -2.5✓ EIU covered by 8.5
LR -2.5✓ EIU covered by 8.5Closing total134.5Over by 15.5
| LR | This season | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-16 | Record | 7-16 |
| 10-14 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 12-12 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 67–67 EIU · ✗ EIU (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 30 | 42 | 72 |
| EIU | 34 | 44 | 78 |
1st half: LR 30, EIU 34 (EIU by 4). The model had LR by 0.2 and a total of 63.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| LR | EIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 25-64 39% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 22-30 73% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 43 20 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kachi Nzeh F | 38 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Johnathan Lawson G | 37 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 4-15 | 1-4 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 30 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 25 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Claytor IV F | 27 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Travonne Jackson, Joseph Thomas, Christian Hughes, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, KK Robinson
| EIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Fruster G | 37 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Kooper Jacobi F | 35 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Meechie White G | 32 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-4 |
| Terry McMorris F | 29 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Nazareth Fisher F | 27 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Preston Turner G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Markus Blackwell G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Prince Johnson F | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Austin, Shane Sims, Malik Olafioye, Kyle Layton, JT Elder, Andre Washington
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLR -2.5
ModelLR -0.1
Model edgeEIU +2.4
W EIU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model134.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
L Over
Projected score
LR 67.3 · EIU 67.2
LR 72 · EIU 78
Win probability
EIU 50%
1st half
Spread
LR -0.2
EIU -4.0
Total
63.0
64 points
Projected score
LR 31.6 · EIU 31.4
LR 30 · EIU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLR -1.5
1 → LR
CloseLR -2.5
1 pt toward LR
Total
Open134.5
no move
Close134.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LR -135 · EIU +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LR -1.5 · closed LR -2.5 · moved 1 toward LRmodel LR -0
model LR -0
Opened 134.5 · unchangedmodel 134.5 matches the line
model 134.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| EIU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LR 3–4 EIUEIU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · LR 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | EIU 63 @ LR 74 | LR -6.5 | LR W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | LR 60 @ EIU 71 | EIU +5.5 | EIU W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | EIU 56 vs LR 54 | LR -10.5 | EIU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | LR 71 @ EIU 47 | EIU +2.5 | LR W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | EIU 90 @ LR 88 | LR -9.5 | EIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
24 games played
Straight up
8-16
33% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @ USI | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | vs TNTC | W 77-58 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs TNST | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ SIUE | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIN | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsEIU | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 17 | vs WIU | W 86-79 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @ SEMO | L 65-70 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @TNST | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TNTC | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 3 | @ UTM | L 52-55 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 5 | vsLIN | L 74-79 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 7 | vsSIUE | L 61-71 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 132.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 12 | @WIU | W 77-58 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
+12.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
+17.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
−3.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+6.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+4.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
−3.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
+0.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−2.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
−11.5
3
@UTM
UTML 52-55
+3.5
5
vsLIN
LINL 74-79
−3.5
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-71
−11.5
12
@WIU
WIUW 77-58
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
−1.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
−9.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
+18.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+11.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+3.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
+29.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
−10.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−17.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
+22.5
3
@UTM
UTML 52-55
−32.5
5
vsLIN
LINL 74-79
+3.5
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-71
−0.5
12
@WIU
WIUW 77-58
−6.5
over 12under 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Illinois
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ VAL | L 63-66 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | vs NICH | W 65-57 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 11 | @ ND | L 58-78 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | @ UK | L 53-99 | +35.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | @CARK | L 60-81 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 28 | @ PUR | L 62-109 | +40.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | vsLIN | L 74-82 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EKU | L 59-68 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 14 | @ ISU | L 53-78 | +43.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 18 | vsSIUE | W 76-72 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | @SEMO | L 59-68 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @UTM | L 61-65 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | vsTNTC | W 71-61 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vsTNST | W 74-70 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsWIU | W 57-55 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 15 | @LR | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 22 | @USI | W 59-51 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 24 | @MORE | L 68-73 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 29 | vsUTM | L 68-76 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 129.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 31 | vsSEMO | L 59-77 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 5 | @TNST | L 68-77 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 7 | @TNTC | W 60-54 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 10 | @WIU | L 70-79 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@VAL
VALL 63-66
+2.5
7
vsNICH
NICHW 65-57
+10.5
11
@ND
NDL 58-78
+3.5
14
@UK
UKL 53-99
−10.5
25
@CARK
CARKL 60-81
−15.5
28
@PUR
PURL 62-109
−6.5
6
vsLIN
LINL 74-82
+0.5
10
vsEKU
EKUL 59-68
−2.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 53-78
+18.5
18
vsSIUE
SIUEW 76-72
+10.5
1
@SEMO
SEMOL 59-68
+3.5
3
@UTM
UTML 61-65
+6.5
8
vsTNTC
TNTCW 71-61
+11.5
10
vsTNST
TNSTW 74-70
+7.5
13
vsWIU
WIUW 57-55
−4.5
15
@LR
LRL 63-74
−4.5
22
@USI
USIW 59-51
+10.5
24
@MORE
MOREL 68-73
−0.5
29
vsUTM
UTML 68-76
−4.5
31
vsSEMO
SEMOL 59-77
−13.5
5
@TNST
TNSTL 68-77
+0.5
7
@TNTC
TNTCW 60-54
+10.5
10
@WIU
WIUL 70-79
−13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@VAL
VALL 63-66
−15.5
7
vsNICH
NICHW 65-57
−13.5
11
@ND
NDL 58-78
−7.5
14
@UK
UKL 53-99
+4.5
25
@CARK
CARKL 60-81
+1.5
28
@PUR
PURL 62-109
+29.5
6
vsLIN
LINL 74-82
+10.5
10
vsEKU
EKUL 59-68
−22.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 53-78
−13.5
18
vsSIUE
SIUEW 76-72
+13.5
1
@SEMO
SEMOL 59-68
−19.5
3
@UTM
UTML 61-65
−7.5
8
vsTNTC
TNTCW 71-61
−8.5
10
vsTNST
TNSTW 74-70
−0.5
13
vsWIU
WIUW 57-55
−20.5
15
@LR
LRL 63-74
+3.5
22
@USI
USIW 59-51
−25.5
24
@MORE
MOREL 68-73
+6.5
29
vsUTM
UTML 68-76
+14.5
31
vsSEMO
SEMOL 59-77
−2.5
5
@TNST
TNSTL 68-77
−0.5
7
@TNTC
TNTCW 60-54
−26.5
10
@WIU
WIUL 70-79
+15.5
over 9under 14avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
8-16 overall · 7-8 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ W Illinois77–58
- Lvs SIUE61–71
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions74–79
- L@ UT Martin52–55
- L@ Tennessee Tech77–87
2 days since their last game.
E Illinois
7-16 overall · 6-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Illinois70–79
- W@ Tennessee Tech60–54
- L@ Tennessee St68–77
- Lvs SE Missouri59–77
- Lvs UT Martin68–76
4 days since their last game.