VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St · Conference game
Closing line
KENN -3.5✓ MTSU covered by 6.5
KENN -3.5✓ MTSU covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Over by 28.5
 MTSU | This season | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| 8-12 | Record | 11-9 |
| 7-13 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 77–80 KENN · ✗ KENN (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 45 | 45 | 90 |
| KENN | 49 | 38 | 87 |
1st half: MTSU 45, KENN 49 (KENN by 4). The model had KENN by 2.0 and a total of 73.4 (actual 94).
Team stats
| MTSU | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-53 55% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 23-28 82% | Free throws | 13-21 62% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Torey Alston F | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Chris Loofe F | 29 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Smith G | 32 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 7-13 | 2-3 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 22 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tre Green G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Savon Wykle, Brandon Oloumou, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Jarred Hall, James Dent Jr.
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Johnson G | 38 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 7-16 | 1-6 |
| Braedan Lue F | 37 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 10-16 | 1-5 |
| Trey Simpson F | 36 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 35 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Jaden Harris G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Rickard G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amir Taylor F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Clemmons, Brendan Tousignaut, Nigel Thomas, Darius Washington III, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Ramone Seals, Simeon Cottle, Charles Stone, Eric Holland, Davin Cosby Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENN -3.5
ModelKENN -3.5
Model edge—
MTSU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model156.9
Model edgeOver 8.4
W Over
Projected score
MTSU 76.7 · KENN 80.2
MTSU 90 · KENN 87
Win probability
KENN 62%
1st half
Spread
KENN -2.0
KENN -4.0
Total
73.4
94 points
Projected score
MTSU 35.7 · KENN 37.7
MTSU 45 · KENN 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKENN -3.5
no move
CloseKENN -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU +136 · KENN -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KENN -3.5 · unchangedmodel KENN -3.5 matches the line
model KENN -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 3-7 30% | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% |
| KENN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MTSU 3–0 KENNMTSU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 3 meetings · MTSU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025-26 | KENN 67 @ MTSU 68 | MTSU -3.5 | KENN W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MTSU 76 @ KENN 75 | KENN -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | KENN 79 @ MTSU 84 | MTSU -9.5 | KENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vsKENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vs MOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @ JXST | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vs LIB | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs WKU | L 60-65 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs FIU | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @ DEL | L 88-89 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−18.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
−14.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−11.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
−9.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−0.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
+9.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−15.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
+17.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
+43.5
over 9under 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kennesaw St
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ FAMU | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs USF | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs RICE | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORU | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ FGCU | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs JKST | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs GAST | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @MTSU | L 67-68 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs ALA | L 81-92 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Jan 2 | @LIB | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | @DEL | L 52-67 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 7 | vsMOST | W 90-80 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsJXST | W 88-82 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vsFIU | W 89-86 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | @WKU | W 81-65 | +7.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @SHSU | L 87-93 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 23 | @LT | L 76-82 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | vsWKU | W 72-69 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vsNMSU | W 76-53 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @JXST | L 58-77 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
+8.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
−11.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+0.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
−16.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+3.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
−0.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+2.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 81-92
+9.5
2
@LIB
LIBL 73-81
−0.5
4
@DEL
DELL 52-67
−23.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-80
+3.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 88-82
+0.5
14
vsFIU
FIUW 89-86
−2.5
17
@WKU
WKUW 81-65
+23.5
21
@SHSU
SHSUL 87-93
−0.5
23
@LT
LTL 76-82
−7.5
28
vsWKU
WKUW 72-69
−1.5
31
vsNMSU
NMSUW 76-53
+19.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 58-77
−20.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
−2.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
+19.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+13.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
+7.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+41.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
+3.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+2.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−25.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 81-92
−9.5
2
@LIB
LIBL 73-81
−4.5
4
@DEL
DELL 52-67
−29.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-80
+17.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 88-82
+20.5
14
vsFIU
FIUW 89-86
−0.5
17
@WKU
WKUW 81-65
−19.5
21
@SHSU
SHSUL 87-93
+12.5
23
@LT
LTL 76-82
+13.5
28
vsWKU
WKUW 72-69
−19.5
31
vsNMSU
NMSUW 76-53
−30.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 58-77
−14.5
over 10under 10avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
8-12 overall · 5-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Delaware88–89
- Lvs FIU84–88
- Lvs Western KY60–65
- Lvs Liberty65–81
- L@ Jax State58–75
5 days since their last game.
Kennesaw St
11-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Jax State58–77
- Wvs New Mexico St76–53
- Wvs Western KY72–69
- L@ Louisiana Tech76–82
- L@ Sam Houston87–93
5 days since their last game.