Scotiabank Arena · at Raptors · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DET | This season | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 3-3 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects TOR 110–110 · win probability TOR 50%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 220.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DET has more of the edges
DET 5, TOR 4 · 2026-27 so far
DETBigTOR offense vs DET defense
Offense 14th of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
DETBigThree-pointers
DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%; TOR hits 32.0% and allows 36.7%. Threes are 43.3% and 38.1% of their shots
DETBigFree throws
Free throw rate: DET 28.9, TOR 27.7. Allowed: DET 28.1, TOR 41.5
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: DET plays 100.9 a game (29th fastest), TOR 105.5 (8th). Faster games mean more points
DETBigShooting
Effective FG%: DET 53.1 and allows 48.8; TOR 51.0 and allows 53.4
TORBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: DET 15.6%, TOR 13.5%. Forced: DET 17.1%, TOR 20.8%
TORSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DET 27.2%, TOR 32.6%. Defensive: DET 72.8%, TOR 73.4%
TORSmallDET offense vs TOR defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 9th, on the model’s ratings
DETSmallRecent form
Last 5: DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0; TOR 2-3 ATS, margin +0.8
TORSmallHome court
TOR at home. This season: TOR 2-1 at home, DET 3-1 away
Context
Schedule so far
DET has played the 17th-hardest schedule, TOR the 21st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DET 100%, TOR 100%. Transfers in: DET 0, TOR 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDET -0.0
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model220.3
Model edge—
Projected score
DET 110.1 · TOR 110.1
Win probability
TOR 50%
1st half
Spread
DET -0.2
Total
110.6
Projected score
DET 55.4 · TOR 55.2
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| TORlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
DET 11–6 TORDET leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · DET 13-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025-26 | TOR 116 @ DET 127 | DET -3.5 | DET W |
| Mar 15, 2025-26 | DET 108 @ TOR 119 | TOR +3.5 | TOR W |
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | DET 113 @ TOR 95 | TOR -1.5 | DET W |
| Apr 4, 2024-25 | DET 117 @ TOR 105 | TOR +10.5 | DET W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | TOR 114 @ DET 123 | DET -5.5 | DET W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@
NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vs
CHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@
BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Raptors
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHI
CHIW 135-92
+32.5
23
@
WSH
WSHW 112-102
+0.5
25
@
MIN
MINL 94-117
−19.5
28
vs
ORL
ORLW 129-99
+24.5
30
vsORL
ORLL 114-121
−12.5
1
@
LAL
LALL 125-131
−2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHI
CHIW 135-92
−10.5
23
@WSH
WSHW 112-102
−22.5
25
@MIN
MINL 94-117
−17.5
28
vsORL
ORLW 129-99
+3.5
30
vsORL
ORLL 114-121
+8.5
1
@LAL
LALL 125-131
+31.5
over 3under 3avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: Pistons 1, Raptors 1, even 3
PistonsBetterRaptors
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
=Even
G I. Quickley16.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.2 ast
Score 33
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
←DETSmall
G J. Walter12.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 64
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
=Even
F S. Barnes24.8 pts · 6.7 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 68
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
=Even
F R. Barrett19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 88
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
→TORSmall
F T. Jackson-Davis3.8 pts · 3 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 52
PistonsBetterRaptors
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
→TORSmall
TOR defense9th of 30 · +3.1
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
←DETBig
TOR offense14th of 30 · +0.9
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
←DETBig
Backcourt+4.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
=Even
Frontcourt+19.0 · 3 players
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
←DETBig
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDET betterTOR betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
RaptorsGuards
I. Quickley31 minJ. Walter29 minJ. Shead22 minA. Martin7 minJ. Bradley4 min
Forwards
S. Barnes33 minR. Barrett32 minT. Jackson-Davis8 minC. Murray-Boyles19 minK. Anderson18 minJ. Battle15 min
Out
J. PoeltlDay-To-DayK. LeonardOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DET109.8 #21TOR118.2 #10Points per possession
DET1.09 #18TOR1.11 #13Pace (possessions)
DET100.9 #29TOR105.5 #8Shooting
Effective FG%
DET53.1 #17TOR51.0 #223-point %
DET36.3 #9TOR32.0 #243-point attempt rate
DET43.3 #13TOR38.1 #25Free throw rate
DET28.9 #14TOR27.7 #18Possessions
Turnover rate
DET15.6 #17TOR13.5 #3Offensive rebound rate
DET27.2 #17TOR32.6 #2Assists per game
DET26.7 #15TOR29.2 #2Defense
Points allowed
DET101.8 #1TOR110.3 #13Points allowed per possession
DET1.01 #1TOR1.05 #5Opponent effective FG%
DET48.8 #2TOR53.4 #16Opponent 3-point %
DET32.5 #10TOR36.7 #21Turnovers forced
DET17.1 #6TOR20.8 #1Defensive rebound rate
DET72.8 #15TOR73.4 #13Steals per game
DET9.0 #12TOR12.7 #2Blocks per game
DET6.7 #4TOR4.3 #19| DET | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 109.8 #21 | Points per game | 118.2 #10 |
| 1.09 #18 | Points per possession | 1.11 #13 |
| 100.9 #29 | Pace (possessions) | 105.5 #8 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.1 #17 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #22 |
| 36.3 #9 | 3-point % | 32.0 #24 |
| 43.3 #13 | 3-point attempt rate | 38.1 #25 |
| 28.9 #14 | Free throw rate | 27.7 #18 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.6 #17 | Turnover rate | 13.5 #3 |
| 27.2 #17 | Offensive rebound rate | 32.6 #2 |
| 26.7 #15 | Assists per game | 29.2 #2 |
| Defense | ||
| 101.8 #1 | Points allowed | 110.3 #13 |
| 1.01 #1 | Points allowed per possession | 1.05 #5 |
| 48.8 #2 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.4 #16 |
| 32.5 #10 | Opponent 3-point % | 36.7 #21 |
| 17.1 #6 | Turnovers forced | 20.8 #1 |
| 72.8 #15 | Defensive rebound rate | 73.4 #13 |
| 9.0 #12 | Steals per game | 12.7 #2 |
| 6.7 #4 | Blocks per game | 4.3 #19 |
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
A week or more of rest.
Raptors
3-3 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Lakers125–131
- Lvs Magic114–121
- Wvs Magic129–99
- L@ Timberwolves94–117
- W@ Wizards112–102
A week or more of rest.